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NFX 品汇国际:美税改或推迟 美元高位震荡 

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 【行情回顾】
在周三的foreign exchange市场上,美元呈小幅震荡整理的走势,美元指数最高上涨到94.96, 最低下跌到94.76, closing at94.86。欧美最高上涨到1.1610,最低下跌到1.1579, closing at1.1596。
  美元昨天小幅走弱,因媒体报导暗示美国企业减税的实施可能推迟,且有迹象显示美国总统特朗普支持率下降。受助于特朗普政府将践行减税许诺的预期,近几周来美元指数曾一度升至三个半月高位。不管是推迟实施减税,还是拟议的改革被弱化的可能性,都将不利于美元。
  美国众议院议长瑞恩保留了执行大幅下调后的企业税税率的时间可能延后的可能性,此前有媒体报导称,参议院共和党人正在研究此选项。英镑兑美元下跌,因执政的保守党发生一连串丑闻,且对首相特雷莎梅达成良好退欧协议能力的怀疑加重,均令英镑承压。此外,加元兑美元续升,因加拿大央行总裁波洛兹前日的讲话没有投资者预期得那么鸽派,带动加元上涨。
从技术上来看,美指周三在94.75之上受到支持,但反弹受阻在前高95.00之下。收盘在94.86,意味着美元短线仍处在高位的震荡整理之中。
[Trading Strategy]
  美元今天短线以逢低做多为主。
US dollar index: can be found in95.05—94.65Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit25Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.16250---1.15650Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.31650---1.30350Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find1.00200---0.99700区间下限买入,有效破位250Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in114.050---113.450Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit350Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.77100---0.76500Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.27700---1.27000Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
  gold: Can be found in the1288.00—1275.00Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
白银:可以在17.250—16.850Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.15USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 07:50 Japan9Monthly trade account
② 09:30 China10monthCPIthe annual rate
③ 13:00 世界黄金协会发布第三季度《黄金需求趋势报告》
④ 14:45 Switzerland10Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment
⑤ 15:00 Germany9月未季调贸易帐、德国9Monthly adjusted current account
⑥ 15:30 France10monthBOFBusiness confidence index
⑦ 21:30 From the United States to11month4Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week
⑧ 23:00 U.S.A9Monthly wholesale sales rate
⑨ 23:30 From the United States to11month3Day and WeekEIANatural gas inventory
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