欧阳枫诚：日本大选在即，美元持续走高10.22Analysis of Gold Operations

　　preface:

　　

　　今天和一位投资朋友交流了很多，这位朋友前期换过很多平台，亏损现状仍未改变，我问她自己是否总结过亏损的原因，她说不知道，就是每次老师喊什么单就跟着做，技术指标自己也看不懂。跟着这个老师亏了，就换平台，找新的老师，但是结果却并不乐观。谁亏了谁都不会甘心，想回本，这是最本能的反应，欧阳认为，可是从来不会细想亏损原因是什么，如何继续接下来的操作？后期遇到同样的问题还要重蹈覆辙？如果是这样，欧阳想说，你真的不适合继续操作了。
　　
　　Message surface:

　　

　　10month22day(Sunday)，日本第48届众议院议员选举即将开始。这是日本自安倍晋三出任首相近5年来第二次提前大选。欧阳觉得这次大选将决定未来日本政局变化，也将影响“安倍经济学”的命运，更可能对日本央行下一届行长人选产生决定性的影响。段雄伟认为这次日本大选意味着日本的政治、经济命运都走到了十字路口，日本汇市、股市和债市也将受到冲击。10month20日，受利好数据影响，美元指数今日价格上涨至2日来的高点，至93.75，目前价格位于93.70附近。随着美元走高，美联储通过加息进一步收紧利率的预期仍在上升。
　　
　　goldTechnical analysis:
　　
　　日线图来看，周五收盘1280.36dollar/盎司，国际黄金依然受阻日线图BOLL中轨下方运行趋势，日线图MA5AndMA10均线形成死叉向下发散运行趋势，日线附图指标MACD红色上涨的动能逐渐衰减不足，RSI指标拐头下探运行趋势，Stoch指标粘合聚集数值20的位置，周线图来看，国际黄金周线形成乌云盖顶形态再次回踩MA21均线，周线图MA5AndMA10均线形成死叉向下发散运行趋势，周线附图指标MACD蓝色下跌动能呈现0轴下方运行趋势，RSI指标拐头下探运行趋势，Stoch指标拐头交叉向上发散运行趋势
　　
　　Analysis of Gold Operations:

　　

　　小时图在高点回撤后两个关键支撑点1288/1282附近均未成功防守住，最终在1277Namely38.2%指标位置形成一波反弹结构，高点1290位置引为压制点，而周线收线又在1277附近进行盘整，等待下一波的打破支撑结构后将直接走向1260一线。大级别来看，周线、日线中期涨势已经打破并转为空头趋势，在短中线上还会继续向下走出一波较大结构的下行行情。目前来看黄金多空分水岭1280，若是守住这个位置，后市有望稳步上行，笔者认为，下周走势主要看两个位置，一个上方压力1290，一个下方支撑1276，破位跟进即可。
　　
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