欧阳枫诚：非农双向数据，多头无力回天？10.8黄金后市分析

　　preface:
　　


　　决定我们一生的，有时不是我们的能力，而是我们的选择！欧阳挺喜欢下面这一段话：圆规为什么可以画圆？因为脚在走，心不变。有人为什么不能圆梦？是因为心不定，脚不动。没规划的人生叫拼图，有规划的人生叫蓝图;A life without a goal is called wandering, and a life with a goal is called sailing;Choice is greater than effort, vision leads to the future! Encouragement with you!

　　

　　本周回顾：


　　
　　本周以来，gold迎来特朗普税改取得进展，避险情绪消退，以及美联储加息预期上升等多重利空消息，黄金较9月高位下跌约90美元，可以说的是，强劲的美元指数已经连续上涨了三周，金价则承压下跌。周五的非农就业人数减少3.3万，自2010year10月以来首次出现负增长，预期为增加9Ten thousand, the previous value is an increase15.6Ten thousand.

    明显受到飓风的影响，虽然失业率好于预期，但是金价小幅下挫后，大幅反弹，加上晚间朝鲜又爆出了导弹情绪增加了避险情绪，支撑了这一波涨势。从消息面来看，9月非农数据公布一举扫清市场不确定性，俄罗斯国会议员警告朝鲜或在近期试射远程导弹，金银价格纷纷自两个月低位开始反攻，黄金自最低1260一带最高涨至1275nearby
　　


　　Gold Technology Analysis:


　　
　　本周整体呈现周初震荡走低，周尾探底拉升的态势，周线收探底小阴线，结束了1357下跌调整态势，周一黄金惯性下探，日线收中阴线，周二受1267一线强支撑反弹，日线收阳十字星；周三延续反弹走势继续走高，晚间受数据影响受阻1282一线受阻回调，日线以探顶小阳线报收。周四白盘黄金惯性上攻，晚盘连翻受数据影响，黄金冲高回落，日线以中阴线报收，周五白盘低位震荡迎数据，晚盘受数据冲击，黄金小幅冲高1271一线回落，最低到达1260.4一线，黄金超跌反弹，日线以探底阳线报收。

　　

　　众所期待的非农终于尘埃落定，相信不少朋友本周都是获利颇丰的。技术面日线图上看，周四黄金报收倒锤子线，说明上方1278-1280-1282一带压制强劲，而非农日黄金走出1270-1260-1276的过山车行情，目前仍旧承压于前期高低点斐波拉契回调线0.5position1280-1281一线，我们下周重点关注该位置破位情况。
　　
　　而短周期4小时上看，布林带开始开口运行，布林上轨1280一线压制，MA5andMA10frontline1269-1270支撑，进一步支撑在下轨1264一线。当前指标MACD红色动能涌现，两线交金叉有发散迹象，短期有足够的理由去看涨。结合数据，非农超出预期的负增长，美元指数还是突破新高，但是难以延续，而黄金的走势同样下跌减缓，下方1262-1264结构点位支撑，短线暂时先看反弹。
　　


　　Analysis of Gold Operations:

　　
　　那么由上文我们可以看出来，我们下周操作可以在1277Short selling nearby,1280不破可补仓空，止损放在1282.目标看向下方1272一线，而多单在下方1273可以介入，1270不破可补仓，止损放在1267这个位置，目标会看1275上方。而目前在欧阳看来黄金若是不能重新靠近千三关口，每一次反弹都是我们做空的机会，也就是说我们操作上还是以高空为主，低多为辅。
　　


　　Message from Ouyang:


　　
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