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【锋少论金】9.22朝鲜再放狠话难救金价 重磅会议或成油价上涨“新引擎”

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preface:
  理论有深度。一个人的理论功底决定他发展的空间,有思想的人工作才能潜质和后劲。理论有深度,看问题才能举一反三,做决策才能游刃有余。社会上凡是能做大事的政治家、企业家首先必须是理论家,在纷乱繁杂的局势中准确观察动势,预测走势。更富有前瞻性,未雨绸缪,驾驭局面,获得更大的成功率。
市场分析:
Federal Reserve9月利率决议如期而至北京时间周四(9month21day)2:00Federal Reserve9月利率决议出炉,美联储宣布于10月开启缩表计划,维持基准利率不变,但预期年底或再度加息,并上调全年经济增速。整体基调明显鹰派抬头,大幅提振dollar,即使是受英国8月零售数据大幅好于预期的pound也在美元飙升的情况下,直线回落。耶伦:低通胀不能反映美国经济全貌美联储主席耶伦表示,低通胀或是由于暂时性因素导致的,低通胀并不能完全反应经济全貌。此外,还有分析称,随着油价回升以及美元贬值,美国通胀水平或于年底回升。因此,市场关于低通胀压制加息预期的逻辑将有所改变。


goldMarket analysis:
  昨日早间开盘1301一线,随着早盘盘整1300受阻后,欧盘早期黄金延续跌势再次刷新低点到达1293一线,随后触底反弹上涨到1298.3一线后再次受阻加速下跌至1291.8一线,美盘上市初请数据利空,黄金跌破1290Arrival at the checkpoint1288一线,随后低点反弹上涨。技术面上,隔夜日线收大阴,昨日日线目前收实体大阴柱,有大概率录两连阳,K线带动布林带呈现朝下运行,价格运行在布林带下轨一线,各周期均线全线下行形成新的压制位打压金价上涨,MA5Strong downward trend of daily moving average10日均线形成死叉向下运行,指标上快慢线死叉下行,绿色动能柱放量明显;短线4On the hour chart,MA5日环绕10日均线交死叉后向下,短期阻力关注5Daily moving average1300Around the US dollar,K线目前运行于布林带下轨线下方,布林带开口向下延伸发展,4小时周期依然偏弱势。综合分析:黄金结构走势已定,随着行情不断的走低,下行趋势基本已经形成,操作上顺势跟进空单即可。
Golden Operation Strategy:
  1Rebound1298.5附近进空单,止损1302,第一目标1294Second objective1290,终极目标1287.(公众号锋少论金)


Gold multi order unwinding:
1、1315-1320区间多单的朋友,你们套的点位还是不多的,黄金后市如有反弹1300一线时,只要抓住这波反弹机会趁机在1290下方多单补进,说不定还可以获利出场或者保本出局。  
2、1320-1325区间多单的朋友,套单的点位目前有30几个点不算小了,估计资金量不够的话会扛不住后续再次下行,那么锋少建议有反弹就先损,无反弹就当断则断,逐步减仓出局,只要跟上锋少老师的指导,后市依旧可以把握反弹上涨的机会再次把损失挽回。
​3、1325美元上方多单的朋友,很多大资金的朋友估计这个时候也是在考虑抗还是不抗了。毕竟短线黄金大幅下跌,目前黄金最低点已经下行到1291一线,而且有继续向下的动能,所以多单拿的越久就套得越深。黄金目前手上还有套单的朋友建议先锁仓然后等待行情这波回调到位,再通过来回多空双边操作来缩小套单点位。


crude oilMarket analysis:
Currently, the oil price isOPECThe expectation of a possible extension of the production reduction agreement, as well as the impact of news such as Trump's "shooting" at Iran at the United Nations General Assembly, has significantly increased51Above the US dollar and on the daily line, the overall trend is bullish,MA5Daily moving average10日均线形成金叉向上运行,价格运行在布林带上轨和中轨之间,布林带朝上张口扩大,指标上快慢线金叉向上运行,红色动能柱放量明显;短线4On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Belt continues to maintain an upward trend, with prices rebounding again to the upper line of the Bollinger Belt after touching the lower line of the Bollinger Belt,MA5Continue to cross the daily moving average10The daily moving average forms a golden cross and moves upwards, with the fast and slow line on the index moving upwards and the red kinetic energy column increasing in volume. Currently, the optimistic sentiment in the oil market has accumulated, and the bullish crude oil market is obvious. Continue to pay attention to the above51.0的压制,操作上回落做多为主。
Crude oil operation strategy:
  1Rebound50.8Short nearby, stop loss51.1, look at the goal50.1;
  2Suggestions50.2Long nearby, stop loss49.9, look at the goal50.7;


Analysis of natural gas market:
        昨晚数据利空,数据出来后急速走低。日线图上,布林带向上,macd快慢线死叉开口,绿色动能柱初现,kdj死叉运行,小时图上,布林带向下,macd快慢线有金叉聚合的趋势;绿色动能柱收量,kdj指标金叉运行。综合技术面来看,天然气短线偏多,操作上建议反弹高位做空为主,低位做多为辅。
天然气操作策略:
      1Suggestions3.020一线把握多单,止损带在2.990Frontline, goal3.080frontline.
      2Suggestions3.070一线把握空单,止损带在3.100Above, target3.025frontline
(温馨提示:近期天然气、原油已经走出多波中线行情,即将迎来新一波中线行情,届时本团队将作出中线布局,准备跟上这波中线利润的朋友可以联系本人微:clf017888,最低资金要求30万,非诚勿扰!)


       技术是生存之本,授人以鱼不如授人以渔,以小博大是投资的真正魅力,拿住有把握的利润是理财之根本!


       投资的本身就是一种对自身的修炼。不断的修炼,才能晋升为成功者的行列。想要走的更远,与谁同行才是关键,How far a person can go depends on who they have with them;How excellent a person is depends on their guidance;你见多了纸上谈兵,我医多了惊弓之鸟!


writing/锋少论金 tiny/clf017888  企鹅在线/2268199461
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