Vantage FX：英镑兑美元9month12Analysis and Trend Forecast of Foreign Exchange Trading in Japanese Investment Banks

　Industrial Investment:
　　英镑欧洲盘再次测试上周五高点附近水平1.3220一线后受阻，震荡走低，整理于1.3160附近。上周英镑选择性忽视利空，表现异常强劲，但本周英镑将面临多重事件风险，包括英国通胀等数据以及英央行利率决议，市场谨慎情绪可能限制英镑涨幅。日内关注英国通胀数据。近期市场对英央行很快加息的预期有所升温，若通胀表现靓丽，将有望推动英镑进一步走高，反之亦然。
　　日图隔夜小幅回调但并未破坏整体上行走势，关注5日均线能否企稳。4小时图受阻于1.3200上方阻力，但回调力度有限，仍有机会进一步上行。小时图震荡走低测试MA50一线，窄幅整理下行力度不强。日内建议1.3150一线做多，紧设止损，先看1.3225。
Dahua Bank:
GBP/美元：看涨，目标指向1.3265。上周五我们转而看涨英镑，今日维持这一观点不变。目标仍位于1.3265不变，但其是相当强劲的水平，未来数日可能难以企及。
　　英国SVS：
　　英镑兑美元小幅收跌，未能突破上周五高位1.3223，风险偏好情绪改善利好美元，数据清淡，但英镑表现最佳，英国议会就退欧投票前守住涨幅。周二英国将公 cloth8monthPPIandCPI数据，周四将公布英央行利率决议。技术上，4小时图显示汇价位于仍看涨的20SMA上方，但技术指标自超买区域回撤，动能指标接近 100，RSIbe located61，表明短线可能继续下跌，但仅为修正。突破周五高点，下一阻力位于1.3266, for8月高位，若破将进一步上扬。
　　Vantage FXViewpoint:
　　GBP/USD：美元走强压制英镑反弹，英镑

Fallback to

1.3200下方，此轮英镑反弹得益于美元的持续走弱，随意一旦美元出现企稳迹象，英镑涨势或受到抑制。操作上可延续低多思路，但高位追多仍不建议。日内关注1.3200一线压力，若遇阻明显短线高空也有机会。上方压力1.3240, lower support1.3100。日内关注英国CPIdata

Event discussion:

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Time Importance Index Content Pre Value(Before correction)Detailed explanation of predicted value published values

19:45Last week in the United StatesICSC-Goldman Sachs Chain Store Sales(Compared to last week)(to0909)+0.7%Waiting
19:45Last week in the United StatesICSC-Goldman Sachs Chain Store Sales(the annual rate)(to0909)+0.7%Waiting
20:55Last week's Red Book commercial retail sales in the United States(the annual rate)(to0909)+4.4%Waiting
Last week's Red Book commercial retail sales in the United States(Monthly rate)(to0909)+0.3%Waiting本月16day2017yearBrokers Show高端foreign exchange展会邀您参加：www.ljzforum.com/activity/9566.html
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