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Xiao Yufan:9.8晚评黄金T+DsilverT+DTrend analysis and operational suggestions

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  昨日除了德拉基表态可以说扭转了市场情绪,欧元就此开启一波高涨行情。还有就是美元遭到国内经济数据“捅刀子”。由于飓风哈维冲击了美国经济,美国至9month2Record of initial claims for unemployment benefits for the current week29.8Ten thousand people, an increase from last month6.2Ten thousand people, yes2The highest level in over a year. Weak employment data will put the Federal Reserve at risk12月加息的几率推向了低点。而且连续的飓风会让其未来就业市场都难以改善。
  
  在哈维飓风肆虐美国本土之后,紧接而来的更强的5级台风伊尔玛也将在本周末登录美国,据悉,实际上艾尔玛飓风大小惊人,有将近一整个法国,大约是四川省大,而且已保持每小时两百九十五公里的风速超过三十三个小时,这也打破历史记录。所以伊尔玛带来的影响以及损害,甚至可能超越哈维飓风。虽然接连的灾害袭击让美国政府停摆的概率持续下降,同时让提高美国债务上限的可能不断增高,但灾害造成的损害以及影响是实打实的。所以下周gold白银有很大概率会再次迎来一波高开行情。
  
  明日就是朝鲜建国纪念日。朝鲜希望在特殊日子发射导弹,这使得市场纷纷猜测明日朝鲜恐会有大动作。现货黄金将放量上涨。朝鲜十分喜欢在特殊的日子展现自己的国家实力,而军事实力则是朝鲜最喜欢展示的能力之一。比如2016year9month9日就进行过核试验。对朝鲜来说,进行核试验的时机具有战略重要性。因此肖宇梵认为,9month9日不论市场是否真的会存在大波动,作为投资者来说都需要加以密切留意;预计黄金价格走势就是受避险情绪支撑,保持高位震荡。具体行情还需等待下周之后才能给出答案。
  


GoldTDTrend analysis:
  

  小时附图指标MACD红色上涨动能逐渐衰减不足,RSIThe indicator turns upward and runs a bullish trend,KD指标形成死叉向下发散运行空头趋势。4小时图来看,国际黄金上涨的趋势依然较强,回调多单为主,日内谨慎做空,做空的朋友严格止损,MA5AndMA10形成金叉上扬运行多头趋势,4hourBOLL带开口向上运行,4Hourly attached indicatorsMACDThe upward momentum of the red trend is gradually becoming stronger,KD指标有死叉的迹象,肖宇梵xyf9996觉得晚间黄金TD关注区间281-282.5High selling and low slag operation.
  
GoldTDOperation suggestions:
  
  1:281Long nearby, stop loss280.5Stop profit target282-282.25附近破位看283;
  2:282.5-282.25Short nearby, stop loss282.60Stop profit target281.50-281.10Near.
  


SilverTDTrend analysis:
  

  今日午盘时段,白银T+D价格整体走势依旧呈下行趋势,但在短线刺破3970元支撑位后遭遇较强阻力,后市又再次回涨至3970元上方,最终收盘价为3974element/千克。小时图来看,国际白银昨日企稳MA均线,延续多头趋势不断上移运行趋势,MA5AndMA10形成金叉上扬运行多头趋势,小时BOLL带开口上扬运行多头趋势,小时附图指标MACD红色上涨动能逐渐衰竭不足,RSIIndicator is in numerical value70Location,KD指标形成死叉向下发散运行趋势,4小时图来看,国际白银连续缓慢上扬,4Hour chartMA5AndMA10形成金叉上扬运行多头趋势,4hourBOLL带开口上扬运行多头趋势,4Hourly attached indicatorsMACDThe upward momentum of the red trend is gradually becoming stronger,RSI指标徘徊数值70上方波幅,KD指标粘合处于数值80的位置,白银TD整体的趋势依然看涨,白银TD走势与黄金TD走势趋同,多头趋势不变,上方虽于3990附近一线承压,但突破只是时间问题,操作上建议顺势回踩前期大阳线的底部支撑进行做多操作,参考点位3970-3960。
  
SilverTDOperation suggestions:
  
  (1)3970-3960Long range, stop loss3945Stop profit target3997-4007;
  (2)4007-4012Short range, stop loss4025Stop profit target3980-3975。
  

Text: Xiao Yufan  Author's Innovationxyf9996
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