On Oil and Gold-罗老师：原油行情怎么看？【黄金原油行情预测】

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Positive factors for news:
1.美国商务部周三（8month16日）公布，美国7月新屋开工总数年化为115.510000 households, lower than the previous value121.5Ten thousand households and expectations122万户，环比萎缩4.8%，不及环比增速0.4的预期。营建许可方面，7月营建许可环比萎缩4.1%，不及萎缩2%的预期，前值由 7.4%Revised to 9.2%。
2.美国劳工部在上周五(8month11day)公布的报告中称，美国7Monthly consumer price index(CPI)月率上涨0.1%；预期上涨0.2%；年率上涨1.7%，预期上涨1.8%。数据还显示，扣除食品和能源等波动比较大的产品，美国7Monthly CoreCPI月率上涨0.1%；预期上涨0.2%，年率上涨1.7%, in line with expectations.CPI数据意外爆冷，或令美联储进一步偏离通胀目标。
3.美国劳工部周四公布数据显示，美国7monthPPI环比下跌0.1%, for2016year8月以来的首次下跌。此前经济学家预测，美国7monthPPI环比会上涨0.1%. In addition, the United States7monthPPIYear-on-year increase1.9%，稍逊于预期的2.2%。
4.美国劳工部周四公布数据显示，美国至8month5Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week24.410000 people, the former value is24Ten thousand people, expected to be24Ten thousand people. The initial unemployment benefit data for the week in the United States has been continuous127Weekly Below30Wanguan Pass, Continuously Creating1970The longest since the beginning of the year.
Negative factors on the news side:
1.US Department of Labor Thursday（8month17日）公布的至8month12The number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week is23.210000 people, lower than the previous value24.4万和预期24Ten thousand people. The initial unemployment benefit data for the week in the United States has been continuous128Weekly Below30Wanguan Pass, Continuously Creating1970年以来最长。路透评论称，美国至8month12日当周初请失业金人数跌至近6个月以来的低点，预示着就业市场进一步收紧。
2.美国商务部(DOC)Tuesday（8month15According to data released in Japan, the United States7Monthly retail sales growth rate0.6%, creating2016year12月以来最大单月升幅，预期增长0.4%, the previous value is corrected to growth0.3%。据金融博客Zerohedge撰文指出，美国7月零售销售反弹，缘于汽车和百货商店的销售大幅攀升。此外前两个月的销售也上修，美国的零售销售已经连续五个月增长。
3.美国劳工部周二（8month8日）周二（8month15According to data released in Japan, the United States6monthJOLTVacancies616.3万，创纪录新高，大幅高于预期的570Ten thousand, starting from566.6Wanshang Xiuzhi570.2Ten thousand.JOLTS数据是美联储主席耶伦高度关注的劳动力市场指标，最新数据表明美国劳动力市场持续复苏。然而。虽然职位空缺数量创新高，但是雇佣数据却有所下滑，表示与空缺职位相匹配的人才有限。
4.US Department of Labor(DOL)Friday(8month4day)According to published data, the United States7月非农就业人口意外增加20.9万人，失业率则降至4.3%。市场人士指出，今天的非农就业报告可谓全面开花：就业人口增加20.9Ten thousand, the unemployment rate has decreased16年低位，薪资增速也出现回暖，表明美国的劳动力市场非常健康，为美元短期反弹提供动能
Gold:昨日黄金继续收出大阳线，上行趋势完好。目前黄金重要压制位于1290.5，进一步压制位于1300as well as1335，下方支撑分别位于1280、1276、1270.
策略上：当前走势我们依然是震荡偏多，建议投资者主要思路是守住1280低点，继续1285.5以上逢低多，博黄金突破1291高点，继而突破1296高点。顺势做多轻飘飘。

crude oil:比想象中的走势稍强了一些，今日我们继续看原油震荡，不可追单只是技术性反弹。白天47.20可考虑空，下方46.6支撑关注。我们更大程度上偏向于空头，高空原油胜算更大，未走出力度和延续性前，最好谨慎对待多头。更具体详细喊单，可以直接咨询谈油论金-罗老师获取。

Investment carries risks and requires caution in operation,The above strategies are for personal reference only!
Today's key focus on financial data and events
2017year8month18day Friday
① 09:30 国家统计局公布2017year7month70个大中城市住宅销售价格变动情况
② 14:00 Germany7monthPPIMonthly rate
③ 16:00 eurozone6Monthly adjusted current account
④ 20:30 Canada7monthCPIMonthly rate
⑤ 22:00 U.S.A8Initial monthly University of Michigan consumer confidence index
⑥ 22:15 Federal Reserve2017yearFOMC票委卡普兰参加达拉斯县社区学院区会议日的问答环节
⑦ The next day01:00 From the United States to8month18Total number of oil drilling in the current week
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