On Oil and Gold-罗老师：最新黄金原油行情走势预测，准不准市场给答案

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Positive factors for news:
1.美国商务部周三（8month16日）公布，美国7月新屋开工总数年化为115.510000 households, lower than the previous value121.5Ten thousand households and expectations122万户，环比萎缩4.8%，不及环比增速0.4的预期。营建许可方面，7月营建许可环比萎缩4.1%，不及萎缩2%的预期，前值由 7.4%Revised to 9.2%。
2.美国劳工部在上周五(8month11day)公布的报告中称，美国7Monthly consumer price index(CPI)月率上涨0.1%；预期上涨0.2%；年率上涨1.7%，预期上涨1.8%。数据还显示，扣除食品和能源等波动比较大的产品，美国7Monthly CoreCPI月率上涨0.1%；预期上涨0.2%，年率上涨1.7%, in line with expectations.CPI数据意外爆冷，或令美联储进一步偏离通胀目标。
3.美国劳工部周四公布数据显示，美国7monthPPI环比下跌0.1%, for2016year8月以来的首次下跌。此前经济学家预测，美国7monthPPI环比会上涨0.1%. In addition, the United States7monthPPIYear-on-year increase1.9%，稍逊于预期的2.2%。
4.美国劳工部周四公布数据显示，美国至8month5Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week24.410000 people, the former value is24Ten thousand people, expected to be24Ten thousand people. The initial unemployment benefit data for the week in the United States has been continuous127Weekly Below30Wanguan Pass, Continuously Creating1970The longest since the beginning of the year.
Negative factors on the news side:
1.美国商务部(DOC)Tuesday（8month15According to data released in Japan, the United States7Monthly retail sales growth rate0.6%, creating2016year12月以来最大单月升幅，预期增长0.4%, the previous value is corrected to growth0.3%。据金融博客Zerohedge撰文指出，美国7月零售销售反弹，缘于汽车和百货商店的销售大幅攀升。此外前两个月的销售也上修，美国的零售销售已经连续五个月增长。
2.美国劳工部周二（8month8日）周二（8month15According to data released in Japan, the United States6monthJOLTVacancies616.3万，创纪录新高，大幅高于预期的570Ten thousand, starting from566.6Wanshang Xiuzhi570.2Ten thousand.JOLTS数据是美联储主席耶伦高度关注的劳动力市场指标，最新数据表明美国劳动力市场持续复苏。然而。虽然职位空缺数量创新高，但是雇佣数据却有所下滑，表示与空缺职位相匹配的人才有限。
3.US Department of Labor(DOL)Friday(8month4day)According to published data, the United States7月非农就业人口意外增加20.9万人，失业率则降至4.3%。市场人士指出，今天的非农就业报告可谓全面开花：就业人口增加20.9Ten thousand, the unemployment rate has decreased16年低位，薪资增速也出现回暖，表明美国的劳动力市场非常健康，为美元短期反弹提供动能
4.据周四（8month3日）公布的数据，美国至7month29The number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week is24万人；已经连续126Weekly Below30万关口；表明就业市场正在收紧，可能允许美联储在9月宣布开始缩表的计划。
Gold:
美联储会议纪要于凌晨2点公布，果然是惊起一身雷。会议显示美联储对缩表达成共识，通胀低迷加重了官员担忧，对年内第三次加息有明显分歧。正是对第三次加息有分歧，市场闻风而动，美元由涨转跌，黄金暴涨。
Gold from1273Up to1289，瞬间涨幅16美金，如果从最低点1267reach1288则是涨幅21美金。时间短速度快说明多头强劲，更说明今日主趋势是多头。今天主思路不用讲，是做多，而且做多是看黄金突破前高1292.5，行情一旦破位1295则日线级别升势空间完全打开，有望冲击1330！
策略上：
白天建议：1285多，止损：1280，目标：可以咨询谈油论金-罗老师获取

crude oil：
昨日价格跌破47关口，尾盘收出一根大阴线，价格跌破近期上行趋势线支撑。目前原油走势偏空。
策略上：
原油今日我们依然空为主。47.60高点我们认为短线不会破，稳健空必须依托47.60在其下空，激进可以依托47.15助力附近空。

Investment carries risks and requires caution in operation,The above strategies are for personal reference only!
Today's key focus on financial data and events
2017year8month17day Thursday
① 09:30 Australia7Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment
② 13:30 France Q2ILOunemployment rate
③ 16:30 britain7Monthly retail sales rate after quarterly adjustment
④ 17:00 eurozone6月季调后贸易帐、欧元区7monthCPIAnnual final value, Eurozone7monthCPIMonthly rate
⑤ 19:30 Announced by the European Central Bank7Monthly Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
⑥ 20:30 From the United States to8month12Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week, United States8Monthly Philadelphia Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index
⑦ 21:15 U.S.A7Monthly industrial output rate
⑧ 22:00 U.S.A7Monthly consultation chamber leading indicator monthly rate
⑨ 22:30 From the United States to8month11Day and WeekEIANatural gas inventory
10 The next day01:00 Federal Reserve2017yearFOMC票委卡普兰出席拉巴克商会活动的问答环节
⑪The next day01:45 Federal Reserve2017yearFOMC票委卡什卡利参加伊代纳扶轮社活动的问答环节
Account opening deposit1万美金获取（导师：谈油论金-罗老师）亲自指导，用实力说话

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