谈油论金：黄金原油行情走势分析以及最新操作策略【新手必看】

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Positive factors for news:
1.美国劳工部在上周五(8month11day)公布的报告中称，美国7Monthly consumer price index(CPI)月率上涨0.1%；预期上涨0.2%；年率上涨1.7%，预期上涨1.8%。数据还显示，扣除食品和能源等波动比较大的产品，美国7Monthly CoreCPI月率上涨0.1%；预期上涨0.2%，年率上涨1.7%, in line with expectations.CPI数据意外爆冷，或令美联储进一步偏离通胀目标。
2.美国劳工部周四公布数据显示，美国7monthPPI环比下跌0.1%, for2016year8月以来的首次下跌。此前经济学家预测，美国7monthPPI环比会上涨0.1%. In addition, the United States7monthPPIYear-on-year increase1.9%，稍逊于预期的2.2%。
3.美国劳工部周四公布数据显示，美国至8month5Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week24.410000 people, the former value is24Ten thousand people, expected to be24Ten thousand people. The initial unemployment benefit data for the week in the United States has been continuous127Weekly Below30Wanguan Pass, Continuously Creating1970The longest since the beginning of the year.
4.Wednesday(8month2day)，素有小非农之称的ADPThe employment report shows that the United States7monthADPIncrease in employment17.8万，连续两个月降低，恐暗示美国的就业市场趋缓。数据显示，制造业就业人口意外减少0.4万，创下去年大选以来的最大降幅。
Negative factors on the news side:
1.美国商务部(DOC)Tuesday（8month15According to data released in Japan, the United States7Monthly retail sales growth rate0.6%, creating2016year12月以来最大单月升幅，预期增长0.4%, the previous value is corrected to growth0.3%。据金融博客Zerohedge撰文指出，美国7月零售销售反弹，缘于汽车和百货商店的销售大幅攀升。此外前两个月的销售也上修，美国的零售销售已经连续五个月增长。
2.美国劳工部周二（8month8日）周二（8month15According to data released in Japan, the United States6monthJOLTVacancies616.3万，创纪录新高，大幅高于预期的570Ten thousand, starting from566.6Wanshang Xiuzhi570.2Ten thousand.JOLTS数据是美联储主席耶伦高度关注的劳动力市场指标，最新数据表明美国劳动力市场持续复苏。然而。虽然职位空缺数量创新高，但是雇佣数据却有所下滑，表示与空缺职位相匹配的人才有限。
3.US Department of Labor(DOL)Friday(8month4day)According to published data, the United States7月非农就业人口意外增加20.9万人，失业率则降至4.3%。市场人士指出，今天的非农就业报告可谓全面开花：就业人口增加20.9Ten thousand, the unemployment rate has decreased16年低位，薪资增速也出现回暖，表明美国的劳动力市场非常健康，为美元短期反弹提供动能
4.据周四（8month3日）公布的数据，美国至7month29The number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week is24万人；已经连续126Weekly Below30万关口；表明就业市场正在收紧，可能允许美联储在9月宣布开始缩表的计划。
Gold:美联储会议纪要将于周四凌晨2点来袭，这是继美联储利率决策后，黄金最大的消息源，预期将有力撼动金价走势。市场现在对美联储有两大期待，一是年内是否加息，二是何时缩表。可以这样讲，这两方面消息都很重要，侧重点无论提及哪个都对黄金的短中期走势都有较大影响，请投资者密切关注。
半岛危机缓和，也推动美元指数触底反弹，美元指数1小时线底部抬高，顶部抬高走出底部结构。美元反弹有利于黄金跌势，黄金高低点也依次降低，特别是1小时尤为明显，昨日连续下跌已打破升势结构，短线黄金有望延续跌势，高空布局黄金为主。
策略上：
昨晚和早盘都给出1274空单获利请投资者持有，并且亚欧盘1276下方有高点都可以空，先看1265新低。至少美联储会会议纪要前，我们要先空黄金看下跌为主。

crude oil：原油跌下去又反弹了，4小时看可能这几天随时会筑底，可1小时并不太乐观。短线看震荡为主48.1-47.3高空低多策略交易即可，48.1附近下空为主，止损48.50Follow below47.3附近做多机会止损放在47即可。若欧盘持续走弱，跌破47支撑，美盘则我会考虑直接追空。

Investment carries risks and requires caution in operation,The above strategies are for personal reference only!
Today's key focus on financial data and events
2017year8month16day Wednesday
① 16:30 britain7Monthly unemployment rate, UK7Monthly unemployment benefit applicants, UK6Three months in a monthILOunemployment rate
② 17:00 Eurozone Q2GDPAnnual rate correction value
③ 20:30 U.S.A7Annualized total monthly construction of new homes, USA7Total monthly construction permits
④ 22:30 From the United States to8month11Day and WeekEIACrude oil inventory
⑤ The next day02:00 Federal ReserveFOMCpublish7Monthly Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
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