Translated by Panshijia:8.16黄金原油空头不改，API利多静候EIA重创

Summary:周二，在美朝局势缓和，以及“恐怖数据”表现强劲的打压下，gold创近六周最大单日跌幅，接下来将迎美联储7月会议纪要的考验；美布两油价格变化不大，今晨APIcrude oil库存大降，今晚EIA将如何主宰原油命运？


Translated by Panshi Family-International news:


Tuesday（8month15日），随着一系列美国经济数据优于预期，全球地缘政治紧张局势降温，避险资产买需降低，黄金futures迎来近六周以来最大单日跌幅。纽商所12月份交割的黄金期货收报1279.79dollar/盎司，跌幅为0.8%Created by7month7日以来最低；纽商所12月份交割的白银期货收报16.714dollar/盎司，跌幅达到2.4%，同样创自7month7The lowest so far.


　　周二，美布两油价格先跌后涨，收盘价较前一日变化不大，依然处于三周低位附近。纽商所9月份交割的美油期货报收47.55dollar/桶，跌幅不到0.1%Touched at one point in the session47.02dollar/桶的低点；洲际期货交易所10月份交割的布油期货报收50.80dollar/桶，涨幅为0.1%, touched during trading50.02dollar/桶的低点。


TonightEIA原油库存数据将于22:30公布。美国至8month11Day and WeekEIA原油库存预期为下降317.6Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is a decrease645.1万桶；汽油库存预期为减少152.7Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is an increase342.4万桶。今晨API原油库存数据公布后，油价获得小幅提振。今晚EIA将如何主宰油价的命运？投资者重点关注。


Analysis of gold market trend:


　　技术面上分析来看，日线以一颗实体长于下影线的中阴柱收尾，金价四连阳格局惨遭终结，目前金价下探MA5average1264Location, but still operating in the upper and middle rail areas of the Bollinger Belt, overall still strong, attention needs to be paid belowMA10average1266附近支撑，若此位置失守将进一步逼近中轨1265One area,MACD红色动能柱缩量，快慢线交金叉运行，指标中性；从四小时级别上来看，随着金价受阻1292One area,KThe number of negative lines included in the line is slightly higher than the positive line, indicating that the bearish trend is also slightly stronger, as gold prices fall below the Bollinger medium track1272After support, further test the lower track1264Nearby support, whileMA5/MA10The moving average runs with a dead cross1280位置形成金价短期反弹的压制阻力，MACD绿色动能柱持续放量，快慢线交死叉运行；综合来看，短线上可高空操作，上方关注1280一带的阻力，下方关注1264Support.


　　Suggestions for Gold Operations:Fallback1264Long nearby, stop loss5US dollars, look at the target1274附近；触及1275Short nearby, stop loss5US dollars, look at the target1265Near.


Analysis of crude oil market trend:


　　原油库存下滑幅度远大于预期，为2016year9月以来最大跌幅，但WTI原油上扬幅度温和，尚未突破48dollar/桶，可能是受到汽油库存意外增加拖累，法巴银行大宗商品首席策略师认为，目前美国石油库存下滑属于符合季节性变化，但也不能忽视美国页岩油生产非常灵活，市场的情绪也将受此影响。因此白盘还是以空单为主。


　　从技术面上看近期油价一直维持在48-50美元区间形成震荡，上周油价多头稍微表现的比较强势，但是上方阻力49.30/50.40阻力很强；油价几次的下跌下方的支撑位置48.30/47.80都被一一跌破，47.0是原油多空分水岭线，也是最强力的支撑点，四小时图上，一根实体大阴柱极为抢眼，贯穿了中下轨，原本的支撑被连连破除，5Daily and10日均线拐头死叉下行，目前在48.3-48.5区域压制原油。早间关注上方48.0-48.2A line of resistance, below47.0一线的支撑。操作以反弹做空为主，低多辅助。


　　Suggestions for crude oil operation:Touching from above47.8Short nearby, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target47.2一线，破位持有；回落47.0Short positions nearby, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target47.5frontline.


【今日重点关注财经数据】


　　1、 16:30 britain7Monthly unemployment rate, UK7Monthly unemployment benefit applicants, UK6Three months in a monthILOunemployment rate
　　2、 17:00 Eurozone Q2GDPAnnual rate correction value
　　3、 20:30 U.S.A7Annualized total monthly construction of new homes, USA7Total monthly construction permits
　　4、 22:30 From the United States to8month11Day and WeekEIACrude oil inventory
　　5The next day02:00 Federal ReserveFOMCpublish7Monthly Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes


　　

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writing//Translated by Panshi FamilyV//OL0080