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朝美局势没有进一步恶化,市场避险情绪消退,黄金反弹看空为主

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朝美局势没有进一步恶化,市场避险情绪消退,黄金反弹看空为主817 / author:Jinchan Investmentzm / PostsID:885115


Positive factors for news:

1.美国劳工部在上周五(8month11day)公布的报告中称,美国7Monthly consumer price index(CPI)月率上涨0.1%;预期上涨0.2%;年率上涨1.7%,预期上涨1.8%。数据还显示,扣除食品和能源等波动比较大的产品,美国7Monthly CoreCPI月率上涨0.1%;预期上涨0.2%,年率上涨1.7%, in line with expectations.CPI数据意外爆冷,或令美联储进一步偏离通胀目标。
2.美国劳工部周四公布数据显示,美国7monthPPI环比下跌0.1%, for2016year8月以来的首次下跌。此前经济学家预测,美国7monthPPI环比会上涨0.1%. In addition, the United States7monthPPIYear-on-year increase1.9%,稍逊于预期的2.2%
3.美国劳工部周四公布数据显示,美国至8month5Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week24.410000 people, the former value is24Ten thousand people, expected to be24Ten thousand people. The initial unemployment benefit data for the week in the United States has been continuous127Weekly Below30Wanguan Pass, Continuously Creating1970The longest since the beginning of the year.
4.Wednesday(8month2day),素有小非农之称的ADPThe employment report shows that the United States7monthADPIncrease in employment17.8万,连续两个月降低,恐暗示美国的就业市场趋缓。数据显示,制造业就业人口意外减少0.4万,创下去年大选以来的最大降幅。
Negative factors on the news side:
1.美国劳工部周二(8month8According to data released in Japan, the United States6monthJOLTVacancies616.3万,创纪录新高,大幅高于预期的570Ten thousand, starting from566.6Wanshang Xiuzhi570.2Ten thousand.JOLTS数据是美联储主席耶伦高度关注的劳动力市场指标,最新数据表明美国劳动力市场持续复苏。然而。虽然职位空缺数量创新高,但是雇佣数据却有所下滑,表示与空缺职位相匹配的人才有限。
2.US Department of Labor(DOL)Friday(8month4day)According to published data, the United States7月非农就业人口意外增加20.9万人,失业率则降至4.3%。市场人士指出,今天的非农就业报告可谓全面开花:就业人口增加20.9Ten thousand, the unemployment rate has decreased16年低位,薪资增速也出现回暖,表明美国的劳动力市场非常健康,为美元短期反弹提供动能
3.据周四(8month3日)公布的数据,美国至7month29The number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week is24万人;已经连续126Weekly Below30万关口;表明就业市场正在收紧,可能允许美联储在9月宣布开始缩表的计划。
4.据周四(8month3日)公布的数据,美国7monthMarkitService industryPMI终值位54.7, refresh1月来新高,显示美国经济实现连续4个月增长,经济基本面得到改善。美国6月工厂订单月率位3%, creating8个月来最大增长,但由于能源领域增速放缓,制造业预计将以温和速率增长
Gold:周末美国官员表示美方希望解决朝鲜半岛问题上以外交手段为主,并取得外交成果。受此影响周一黄金开盘平开,亚盘震荡,欧盘跌破1281关键支撑,美盘有一定程度反弹;在凌晨纽约联储官员杜德利利空言论下走低,他表示若经济发展良好,将支持美联储继续加息。加息言论使得黄金触及1285.67凌晨再破1281现在新低至1273.45!
短线黄金已经由多转空,技术上是因为日线级别潜在三重顶压力,黄金也需要一定程度回调,4小时黄金短线也出现了调整信号可是中期涨势没有被明显破坏,1小时跌破1281and1273.45低点短线看空,15分钟跌势过程中空头跌速较快,空头明显。
策略上:周二早盘看空黄金不变。建议投资者早盘: 1282下高空,看1274以及更低价格。稳健反弹直接放空为主。 激进者待价格回落至1273附近介入多单,目标1281Stop loss1268。

朝美局势没有进一步恶化,市场避险情绪消退,黄金反弹看空为主132 / author:Jinchan Investmentzm / PostsID:885115


Investment carries risks and requires caution in operation,The above strategies are for personal reference only!
Today's key focus on financial data and events
2017year8month15dayTuesday

(韩国因光复节休市一日,意大利因圣母升天日休市一日)
09:30 The Reserve Bank of Australia announces8Monthly Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
14:00 Germany Q2 not seasonally adjustedGDPAnnual rate initial value
16:30 britain7monthCPIMonthly rate, UK7Monthly Retail Price Index Monthly Rate
20:30 U.S.A7Monthly retail sales rate, US7Monthly import price index rate, United States8New York Fed Manufacturing Index for the Month
22:00 U.S.A8monthNAHB房产市场指数、美国6Monthly commercial inventory rate
The next day04:30 From the United States to8month11Day and WeekAPIcrude oilstock
Account opening deposit1万美金获取(导师:谈油论金-罗老师)亲自指导,用实力说话

朝美局势没有进一步恶化,市场避险情绪消退,黄金反弹看空为主67 / author:Jinchan Investmentzm / PostsID:885115




朝美局势没有进一步恶化,市场避险情绪消退,黄金反弹看空为主808 / author:Jinchan Investmentzm / PostsID:885115



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朝美局势没有进一步恶化,市场避险情绪消退,黄金反弹看空为主134 / author:Jinchan Investmentzm / PostsID:885115


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