Xu Jingzhong:7.28伦敦金区间震荡，后市走势该何去何从？

Message surface:
  7month27On the same day, the United States released initial application data. Specific data shows that the United States7month22The previous value of the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week is23.3Ten thousand people, expected value is24Ten thousand people, the published value is24.4Ten thousand people. Positive due to higher than expected data resultsgold. After the data was released, the spot gold price rose in the short term and then slightly declined. It is believed that the weak performance of initial application data has amplified the dovish influence of the Federal Reserve, intensified market skepticism about the US economic recovery, and simplified the bearish impact of balance sheet tightening while suppressing expectations of interest rate hikes. After all, from the current situation, the Federal Reserve wants to9It's difficult to raise interest rates every month, and even plans to raise rates again within the year have to be put under a big question mark. From the trend of the US dollar index, it can be seen that the US dollar is rapidly approaching a "life or death" level. If the US dollar continues to fall to92.60-93.15Below the interval level, there will be a huge downward space for the US dollar index. The US dollar index has been declining since the day93.152Rebound, current report93.924. according toCMEFederal Reserve observation, currently the Federal Reserve9Monthly interest rate increase25Bps to1.25[%]-1.5[%]The probability of the interval is8.2[%]，12The probability of monthly interest rate hikes reaching this range is45.1[%]It is expected that inflation will continue to be lower than2[%]. In addition to the current Trump Russia scandal and his healthcare reform plan still receiving attention, the uncertainty of the political situation, and the market's risk aversion sentiment will continue to heat up.
Gold market analysis:
  昨日日线收阴十字星，日线阴阳反复，行情总体还是保持震荡，不是行情的方向还是向上涨的，日线级别上涨的趋势一直都是没有发生变化的，所以即使昨晚黄金再度大跌至1254也是不会影响大的方向，仍然只是一次短时间的回调而已，在会议纪要帮助行情突破1260之后，我认为黄金上方的空间已经被打开了，行情继续上涨创新高只是时间的问题。
  既然是震荡行情，那么我们的操作也要保持一个震荡行情的操作思路，首先关注1254as well as1262昨天晚上黄金的高低点，按照近期行情的尿性的话，白天行情继续在这两个位置之间保持震荡的概率会比较大，所以暂时还是关注1254-1262Interval operation,1254-1255附近做多，以1250位置为防守位置，现在黄金还是上涨行情，预计跌幅也相当的有限；上方以高点1265为防守位置，在1265被突破之前都是可以做空的。今天的操作思路非常简单，小区间看1254-1262，大区间看1250-1265，高空低多操作即可。

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
1Withdrawal1254-1255Long on the front line, stop loss1250Below, target1260-1262frontline;
2Rebound1262-1263Short on the front line, stop loss4Points, target1254-1256frontline;

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  This article is from "Xu Jingzhong", a nationally certified gold analyst. Welcome to add "Xu Jingzhong":xujingzhong
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