Xiao Yufan:7.27Late review Analysis of the trend of gold and silver crude oil and operational suggestions

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Early this morning, the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike did not exceed market expectations and continued to be maintained1.25%The interest rate remains unchanged. Meanwhile, from the statement, it can be seen that the attitude of the Federal Reserve in raising interest rates in the subsequent period of this year is not very firm, and it has been basically determined that there is no hope of a rate hike in September,12The month is yet to be verified by the economic data from the United States over the past few months. In addition, Yellen's proposal to reduce the balance sheet, the signal released by the Federal Reserve, and the schedule of this plan are expected to be advanced, and the pace may also accelerate. So, in the next few trading days, whether it's for the US index or for thegoldIn general, it will be a complex process of seeking short-term direction through game theory. According to the recent author's viewpoint, I still tend to be optimistic about gold continuing to rise and stabilize after adjustment1260Will further impact1270/80as well as1295Double top position in the area!
　　
Gold trend analysis:
　　
On Wednesday, the overall trend of gold spot prices remained at a bottom and rebounded, and the entire Asian market opened from the beginning1250Nearby, there has been a weak decline, hitting1243After key support from the US dollar, it stopped falling and rebounded, while the European market rebounded slightly after being supported by the low point, maintaining overall stability1245-1248The range fluctuated within a narrow range, with gold in the US market fluctuating upwards and waiting for a decision on interest rates. Subsequently, in the dovish statement of the Federal Reserve, gold prices rose rapidly, and the daily chart closed higher from negative to positive. Jin Ri's morning gold opened on1260On the front line, after the opening, the momentum of yesterday's end of the trading session continued to maintain an upward trend, reaching its highest point1265On the front line, it once again hit yesterday's high point, and then gold bulls showed some weakness and turned to a decline. The European market focused on the top and bottom conversion position1258Nearby, if you don't break this level, continue to be bullish. I suggest that you directly go long before the US market. If you break this level, the gold price will face another correction and correction.
　　
Gold Technology Analysis:

　　

From a daily perspective, the gold price on the daily chart rose sharply and broke through multiple tops1257-8Suppressing the frontline watershed and standing firmly above it, driving short-term growth5Rihe10The daily moving average gold cross continues to rise, with the daily line moving upwards along the upper track. The short-term moving average shows a bullish pattern, combined with the agile indicator of overbought area gold cross operation,MACDThe gold cross at the low level of the indicator has risen, accompanied by the continuous volume increase of the red energy bar, and the future price of gold is undoubtedly bullish. On the four hour chart, after breaking through the suppression of the short-term moving average, the gold price is now running near the upper track of the Bollinger Bands. As the opening of the Bollinger Bands gradually expands, the space above also gradually begins to open up. The short-term moving average shows a bullish arrangement, with a clear bullish trend,5Daily moving average at1259The primary support for gold prices is formed nearby, and the Bollinger Belt is on track1264Nearby suppression of gold prices, flexible indicatorsSTOThe internal dead fork in the overbought area tends to run in a sticky manner,MACDThe index's fast and slow line has risen at a high level with a golden cross, and the red energy bar has strengthened. The short-term upward trend has been strengthened. Based on comprehensive analysis, the author Xiao Yufan believes that the bullish trend in the market has returned after yesterday's bullish rally, and is expected to further strengthen after short-term stabilization. The European market trend is expected to recover from volatility, while the US market will move out of the broad band. Pay attention to the evening initial request data and durable goods data, and wait for the data to be released for stable short positions. Follow the trend and operate accordingly.
　　
Suggestions for evening gold operations:  retracement 1259-1261Long, stop loss4In terms of target, in US dollars1267-1268。
　　
Silver Technology Analysis:

　　

Silver's daily level closed positive yesterday and reached a new high. Today, the daily level continues to close positive on the basis of yesterday's strong positive, and has been steadily rising. On the daily level, silver is expected to continue to close positive today. from4Looking at the hourly chart, yesterday's bottom was supported, and after reaching the bottom needle, silver continued to rise along the bullish line, forming a bullish trend in the short term. In the evening, the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting was bearish for the US index, bullish for gold and silver, and silver continued to rise, forming a bullish and bearish trend. At the same time, the high point also reached a new high, and the bullish trend continued. The future is expected to further rise.1On the hourly chart, silver shows a continuous upward trend since yesterday evening1The market is expected to rise strongly in the short term, with a strong upward trend of aerial refueling, as long as this trend is not bad. The pressure above silver17, supported below16.55. In the evening strategy, Xiao Yufan suggests focusing on lower prices.
　　
Suggestions for evening silver operation:  16.5-16.6Nearby, stop loss16.3, Objective17, hold against the limit.
　　
　　crude oilMessage surface parsing:
　　
Yesterday's announcementEIADecline in crude oil inventory720.8Ten thousand barrels recorded a consecutive decline for four weeks, and domestic crude oil production in the United States decreased last week1.910000 barrels to94110000 barrels/After four consecutive weeks of growth, it recorded its first decline. It can be said that yesterday's data was biased towards bullish crude oil,EIAAfter the announcement, oil prices also rose in response, but then experienced a rapid decline, although the rise in the latter half of the US market did not break through48.8At a high point, the technical outlook remains bullish, at least there is currently no sign of a peak. In the short term, crude oil is also an opportunity to buy long if it retreats, while short-term crude oil remains bullish.
　　
Technical analysis of crude oil:

　　

Technically speaking, last nighteiaThe data is bullish, and after the data was released, oil prices staged a roller coaster trend. The daily line ultimately fell below the longer shadow of the positive column, indicating strong support below. Currently, oil prices are operating at high levels, and the daily Bollinger Bands moving average shows a bullish pattern, with indicatorsmacdGolden Fork Volume,stoThe hook is fixed upwards, and the daily trend remains bullish.4From an hourly perspective, the Bollinger Bands have formed a further opening trend and are currently supported by the moving averageMA5andMA10Adhesive position48.5Nearby,4Hourly indicatormacdGolden cross oscillation, agility indexstoWandering around supermarkets,4Hours are also bullish and remain unchanged, but in the evening, Xiao Yufan suggests a pullback and mainly a lower trend.
　　
Analysis of the evening crude oil trend:  Fallback48.2-48.4Long, stop loss48, Objective49.3, take a break to see50Da Guan.
　　Text: Xiao Yufan  Author's Innovationxyf9996