First Gold Momo:3/2Gold analysis recommendations

Fundamentals:

Chairman of the China Banking Regulatory Commission, Guo Shuqing: We will crack down on illegal and irregular proxy holding of bank shares. We should actively participate and fully cooperate with the construction of regulatory coordination mechanisms. The banking industry will implement differentiated real estate regulation measures. This year, we need to prioritize the prevention and control of financial risks. The banking industry will help companies shorten their financing chain and reduce financing costs. The banking industry will effectively cooperate with real estate to reduce inventory. As of2In the first half of the month, the signing fee for China's market-oriented debt to equity conversion4300Over 100 million yuan, implementation amount400More than one billion. The banking industry will actively support supply side reforms. China will steadily promote deleveraging this year. The systemic risk in the banking industry is generally controllable, and the systemic risk in the financial industry is also generally controllable.2016End of year non-performing loan ratio of banking institutions1.91%. The overall risk of China's banking industry is controllable.2016At the end of the year, the non-performing loan ratio of commercial banks in the national banking industry1.74%。

Federal Reserve Director Brainard talks about the process of reducing the balance sheet and raising interest rates is imminent,On Thursday morning, Federal Reserve Director Brainard stated that the normalized balance sheet size will be smaller than before, and the Federal Reserve should be prepared to raise interest rates "soon". Brainard's speech is seen as a foresight for Yellen's speech, and investors should be prepared in advance.


Technical aspect:
Today's opening price1247.highest1247.8, minimum1245.8Current price1245.9. Yesterday's opening1245.7   , highest1250.4  , minimum1236.8Closing1245.9Still fluctuating13Around USD, continuous3The maximum fluctuation in the day is13Near the US dollar. The minimum goal for today is13/2=6.5US dollars. From the daily chart, the gold price is located in the middle of the upper and middle Bollinger tracks, as well as between the Fibonacci correction lines. Yesterday, gold prices also rebounded after testing the Bollinger medium track. Bollinger's three lines are balanced upwards. from4From the hourly chart, it can be seen that the gold price quickly rebounded after probing the lower bound of Bollinger.Rsistay50Nearby. from1Looking at the hourly chart, after touching the Bollinger Bands, the gold price rebounded to the middle track, with a very smooth and clear curve. Now above the Bollinger track.


Investment advice
Today's trend: up
can1246There are many orders nearby, look1252.Stop loss1242.reach1252When nearby, stop loss can be moved to1248Look1258Near.


Today's follow:
10:00 The State Council Information Office held a press conference, and the Chairman of the China Banking Regulatory Commission, Guo Shuqing, delivered a speech
16:15 Switzerland1Monthly actual retail sales annual rate
18:00 eurozone1Monthly unemployment rate, Eurozone1monthPPIMonthly rate, Eurozone2monthCPIAnnual rate initial value
20:30 U.S.A2Monthly Challenger Enterprise layoffs
21:30 Canada12monthGDPMonthly rate, US to2month25Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week
23:30 From the United States to2month24Day and WeekEIANatural gas inventory

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