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汇价区间波动共识愈发明显

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Huitong Network3month1Daily News - Wednesday(3month1day)According to data from the People's Bank of China, the central parity rate between the Chinese yuan and the US dollar is reported6.8798元,较上日下调48点。市场目前正在静待美国总统特朗普稍后在国会的讲话是否提供财政和税收政策更多细节。交易员称,汇价区间波动共识愈发明显,实需之外市场明显缺乏交投意愿,若无外力驱动,汇价料延续当前横向震荡走势。

人民币中间价小幅下调48点,特朗普国会演讲重磅来袭

Institutional perspective

招商证券首席宏观分析师谢亚轩认为,最近几年,除中国之外的亚洲新兴经济体债券市场国际资本流入都出现了放缓的迹象,但中国债券市场资本流入规模仍然较大,显示出市场开放和人民币国际化等制度性因素的较大影响力。

中信银行金融市场部副总经理孙炜表示,目前,人民币汇率市场情绪趋于平稳,恐慌性市场情绪明显降低、人民币单向贬值预期得到修正,从银行间市场和结售汇市场两方面来看,市场供求力量在日趋平衡。

National Bank of Australia(NAB)在最新的报告中,将预测从1USD exchange rate7.18元人民币调高至7.04,称由于中美关系缓和,美元强势可能推迟出现,市场对高风险新兴市场资产的偏好近期或会持续。报告还称,美国总统特朗普在接受“一个中国” 原则之后立场“明显回缩”,也是一个原因。
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