The Federal Reserve will hold an interest rate meeting

Huitong Network2month28Daily news——3month14Day15The Federal Reserve of Japan will hold a meeting to discuss interest rates. With the gradual recovery of the US economy and recent hawkish remarks from some officials, the possibility of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates is also gradually increasing. Some observers expect that the possibility of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates has already been reached50%。

Chief Market Analyst of Lindsay GroupPeter Boockvar"This is the purpose of the Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve may not raise interest rates, but they will at least maintain flexibility in their decisions," he said

The Federal Reserve's ideas are difficult to understand,3Is the possibility of a monthly interest rate hike as high as 50%?

The Federal Reserve's interest rate hike may increase to50%？

The recent hawkish remarks made by Federal Reserve officials have raised the possibility of interest rate hikes.

The February meeting minutes released last week showed that Federal Reserve officials had predicted that interest rates would be raised "soon" when economic data and financial conditions were suitable.

This Monday（2month27Dallas Fed Chairman Kaplan(Robert Kaplan)He stated that his previous statement of "raising interest rates sooner rather than later" means that the timing of the rate hike is in the "near future".

Chief Market Analyst of Lindsay GroupBoockvarBased on these events, it is estimated that the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in March has increased to50%。

BoockvarThe current short-term interest rate target of the Federal Reserve is0.5%to0.75%The median is0.625%。4Monthly FundfuturesThe target fund interest rate of the contract is0.75%. Considering that this contract is intended to raise interest rates25A basis point, so the possibility of a rate hike is50%。

Federal Reserve observers use various methods to calculate fund interest rates, but the results are not the same. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange's calculation shows that by Monday afternoon this week, the Federal Reserve had only31%The possibility of interest rate hikes.
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