Vantage FXWanzhi: AUD to USD2month25Analysis and Trend Forecast of Foreign Exchange Trading in Japanese Investment Banks

Deng Fute:
AUD/The daily chart of the US dollar further moves towards last year4The upward movement of the Australian dollar is limited due to the resistance of the upper edge of the adjustment range constructed at the beginning of the month. From the hourly chart trend, the Australian dollar/The US dollar broke through the previous trading day2month16The adjustment range that has been constructed since the beginning of the day continues the short-term record high situation. The Australian dollar hit a new high yesterday0.7740Encountering obstacles resulted in a relatively weak but definitely strong pullback, with a focus on the short-term pullback of the Australian dollar within the day0.7700The nearby support is expected to provide support for the pullback, and the short-term volatility and upward trend are expected to continue. Short line support0.7680。
Industrial Investment:
The Australian dollar continues to fluctuate violently since0.7710Stable after falling back due to obstruction above0.7660On the first line, it then fluctuated higher and surged in the New York market, breaking through0.7710Resistance, highest probing0.7740However, it was almost vomited back in the late trading session1/3Increase in price. Overall, the Australian dollar continues to maintain an upward trend, but the long short tug of war is more intense, and both long and short positions have profit opportunities. It is important to pay attention to controlling positions.
Daily chart on20The daily moving average support has been found to be higher, but the inclusion is longer. The upper shadow line shows greater resistance above, which may limit the increase.4The overall upward trend of the hourly chart remains intact, with a demand for a pullback in the short term. The hourly chart is fiercely contested for long and short positions, resulting in an overall oversupply. Suggestions for the day0.7680Going long on the front line, 0.7730Seeking backhand short selling opportunities on the front line.
Support position:0.7680 0.7660 0.7645
Resistance level:0.7735 0.7755 0.7775
AustraliaGCG：
The weak trend of the US dollar also boosted the Australian dollar, which hit a new high yesterday0.7740At present, the overall trend of the Australian dollar is still fluctuating at a high level, with a pressure range above it0.7730-0.78It has also formed a suppression, but based on the current fundamentals of Australia and the weakness of the US dollar, the Australian dollar is expected to test its upward trend0.78We will continue to buy long Australian dollars on dips within the day, as the price is at a certain level0.7670Near.
　　HugeHaojue Group:
Current price in Australia and the United States0.7705Yesterday's rise0.10%The intraday amplitude is as high as80Point, collect cross stars in high-end, daily lineMACDThe alarm for the high-end dead cross is still not in contact, so even if it reached a high yesterday, it was not possible to make a judgment of multiple restarts, and60Minute cycleMACDThe beginning of the dead fork and the occurrence of dual cycle dead fork resonance, if able to successfully stand firm0.7731Only then will the upward trend restart, otherwise there will be a risk of falling below the recent low0.7645The possibility of.
　　FX168：
AUD/USD closing0.7700Above, but still struggling to continue the upward trend to a critical level.4On the hourly chart, technical indicators tend to decline within the positive range, but20The moving average is at0.7685The strong bullish trend is maintained nearby, indicating that if the downward trend is still suppressed above this level, the currency pair may further rise. If the exchange rate accelerates upward to0.7700Above, the exchange rate is expected to approach2016Annual high0.7834Investors may be eager to lock in profits at this level.
Support position:0.7670 0.7630 0.7600
Resistance level:0.7735 0.7770 0.7815
　Dahua Bank:
AUD/USD: bullish,0.7775/80Partial profit taking. As mentioned last day, unless the US market closes, the Australian dollar0.7710Above, otherwise the current bullish phase will shift towards neutrality. The current outlook for the Australian dollar is still bullish, although actions can improve, there is still a lack of momentum. In short,3The bullish phase that started a week ago is still intact, and bulls may be0.7775/80Carry out partial profit taking, with stop loss points from0.7640Move up to0.7660。
Vantage FXAnalysis of Wanzhi's viewpoint:
　　AUD/USD
Support 0.7650 0.7610 resistance 0.7760 0.7830
Against the backdrop of yesterday's correction in the US dollar, the Australian dollar has once again shown a strong upward trend from the bottom. Currently, the upward trend is still colliding with the top resistance level. After recent fluctuations, the risk of the Australian dollar's downward trend is gradually increasing, especially if it cannot break through the upper limit for a long time0.7760In this case, investors need to be cautious of the risk of a pullback in the Australian dollar.For the short term, the Australian dollar remains strong0.7650-0.7760Operating within the new oscillation zone, if we break below the oscillation support level as expected, the target below will be0.7600The integer threshold of;The first position above is0.7760The important resistance, if broken further above, is last year's high point0.7830Location of.

Event discussion:

Time Importance Index Content Pre Value(Before correction)Detailed explanation of predicted value published values

00:00Last week in the United StatesEIAcrude oilInventory changes(10000 barrels)(to0217)952.7347.556.4

00:00Last week in the United StatesEIARefinery equipment utilization rate(to0217)85.4%85.3%84.3%

Last week in the United StatesEIAChanges in refined oil inventory(10000 barrels)(to0217)-68.9-48.3-492.4

Last week in the United StatesEIAChanges in gasoline inventory(10000 barrels)(to0217)284.6-88.8-262.8

00:00U.S.A2Kansas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Output Index for the Month+20+11

U.S.A2Kansas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Composite Index for the Month+9+14

23:00U.S.A1Monthly sales of new houses(Annualized monthly rate)-10.4%+7.2%Waiting

23:00U.S.A1Annualized total monthly sales of new homes(10000 households)53.657.5Waiting

U.S.A2The University of Michigan1Annual inflation expectation final value2.8%Waiting

U.S.A2The University of Michigan5-10Annual inflation expectation final value2.5%Waiting

U.S.A2The final value of the monthly University of Michigan Current Situation Index111.2Waiting

U.S.A2Final Value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index for the Month95.796Waiting

U.S.A2The final value of the monthly University of Michigan Expectancy Index85.7Waiting

23:30Last week in the United StatesECRILeading indicators(to0217)144.5Waiting

Last week in the United StatesECRILeading indicators(to0217)(the annual rate)11.1%Waiting

Focus:Vantage FXWanzhi: The US dollar continues its downward trend and enters a critical period of data in the future（https://www.vantagefx.cn/market-analysis/17022401/）
　　

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