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人民币较上日小幅下调3spot

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Huitong Network12month27Daily News - Tuesday(12month27day)According to data from the People's Bank of China, the central parity rate between the Chinese yuan and the US dollar is reported6.9462元,较上日小幅下调3点。有市场人士指出,短期来看,距2017年仅最后一周,市场整体交投清淡,人民币汇率有望在年前维持相对稳定。

人民币中间价微跌3点,年底前汇率料保持平稳

[Morning trend]

Beijing Time9:21,离岸人民币兑美元短线下跌近20点,现交投于6.9537元一线。

人民币中间价微跌3点,年底前汇率料保持平稳

Institutional perspective

国金证券指出,目前,美国2年期国债收益率较同期限德国国债收益率高198个基点,接近2005年以来最大水平,这将成为吸引更多资金流入美元的核心驱动力。事实上,货币政策分化将在2017年变得更加明显,美联储将收紧货币政策,而欧央行会进一步扩大资产负债表。然而,美债收益率若持续大幅上扬,则可能开始压抑美国股票及经济,美元指数的上行高度不宜过分期待。

中信futures指出,考虑到圣诞假期及新年来临的影响,外围市场有望延续上周后半周相对平淡的走势。同时,考虑到本周美国即将公布的经济数据也相对较少,美元指数或将继续维持波澜不惊的整理态势。受益于此,年前人民币对美元汇率的贬值压力有望暂时缓和。

中国金融四十人论坛(CF40)高级研究员管涛撰文认为,增加汇率政策的可信度,是深化人民币汇率机制改革的关键。管涛认为,当前人民币汇率“中间解”的核心问题,是汇率政策的可信度。
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