殷昊宸：油价上涨乏力多方承压 空头逆袭紧逼OPEC

　　市场解读：
　　
　　美元指数今年迄今已经上涨4.5%，自特朗普当选美国下一届总统以来涨幅更是达到逾5%，因预期新政府将推进减税和提高财政支出计划。周三没有没有决策者讲话计划，且圣诞假日临近，投资者纷纷回补此前建立的多头头寸。周四美国方面将会公布一系列重要的宏观数据，包括2016年第三季度的最终GDP数据，预计这些经济数据的表现会对市场造成较大影响。投资者需要密切关注。
　　
　　EIAcrude oil库存意外增加。美国能源资料协会(EIA)Announcement, as of12month16日该周，美国原油库存增加225.6万桶，预期下降243.25万桶，前值下降256.3Ten thousand barrels.EIA库存数据与API走势相反，意外增加225.6Ten thousand barrels, for5周最大涨幅。库欣原油库存、汽油库存与精炼油库存均录得小幅下跌；美国国内产量下滑幅度较温和。
　　
　　利比亚国家石油公司昨日已经确认，通往ShararaandElFeel油田的输油管道已经开启，这将将为利比亚在未来三个月内增加2710000 barrels/日的原油产量。Sharara油田的日均产能约为3310000 barrels/Day, andElFeel油田的日均产能约为910000 barrels/Day.
　　
　　原油行情分析：
　　
　　昨日日间行情令所有人相当纠结，亚欧盘整体波动只有0.4美元，曾多次试图向上突破均未能有效，而今日日内行情也是一样的，多头上涨无力，预计今晚有一次高位下跌；日线级别上，布林带呈多头排列，MACD行情指标在零轴上方走平，红色动能柱缩量，RSI行情指标拐头向上。从四小时行情走势图来看，布林带缩口运行，KThe line runs near the middle rail,MACD行情指标快慢线粘合运行，绿色动能柱小幅放量;KD行情指标死叉向下发散运行。下方支撑进一步看到52美元整数关口，今晚若强行下破那么今晚是一个大跌的势头，下方重点关注破位情况。综合来看，晚间操作上殷昊宸建议反弹做空为主。
　　
　　Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　策略一、建议53.0-52.8Short near the US dollar, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target52.5Near the US dollar;
　　
　　策略二、建议52.0-52.2Buy long near the US dollar, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target53.0Near the US dollar;
　　
When the market is high, some people cry, some laugh, and some cry for their own misfortune. Why is it unfortunate for others? Because you have never been able to get on the right path of investment, you have been searching for the best and most suitable teacher for you, but you can never find it. At this time, you will be angry at your bad luck and complain about how you are so unlucky. However, you should remember that the darkness before dawn is the most difficult to endure. When you feel like you are about to give up, it is often a turning point, and life is like this, Good luck always favors those who persevere. Everyone makes investments. Why do some people thrive while others are confused and unsure how to lose? That's the truth. Investment relies on wisdom, financial management relies on professionalism, resolving conflicts relies on attitude, judgment comes from observation, and more importantly, from professionalism.