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  蒲金鸣:12month15加息之下不跌反涨,EIA来临天然气后市走势解析

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  蒲金鸣:12month15加息之下不跌反涨,EIA来临天然气后市走势解析

Beijing Time15Early morning of3点美联储宣布,将基准利率调升25个基点,从0.25%-0.5%Up to0.5%-0.75%。此外,联储的最新经济及利率预期显示,联储预计2017年将加息3次,比原预期多1次。最新的联邦基金利率futures价格显示,明年第一次加息概率最大的时点是6月。美元指数闻讯直线拉升约0.5个百分点,美股小幅跳水。因加息影响crude oilgold、白银应声短线暴跌,而天然气价格却不跌反涨。

  回顾昨日天然气行情,天然气昨日晚间出现大幅反弹迹象,本次反弹过程主要受短时间段内大批国际买家入场影响所致,长期运行价格依然难逃下行通道,可以看出反弹较为强势,预计达到4小时上轨附近即可入场空单。小时图中,布林带带宽放大,MACD红量柱放量,KDJ、RSI金叉上行,上行过程延续。4小时图中,前期跌破60日均线支撑后,目前MA10Daily and20日拐头结成金叉,短线反弹情况较为严重,日内可以轻仓部分做多,严格带好止损操作,TRIX有金叉迹象,等待反弹过程进一步发力!日内主要操作思路还是以高空为主,低多为辅。另提醒投资者关注今日晚间11spot30Distributed to the United States12month9Day and WeekEIA天然气库存数据。

  天然气日内实盘具体操作建议:

  5180Short selling,5215Point stop loss,5120Point stop surplus.

More operational suggestions: Jiapu Jinming Weixingpjm868obtain.

  5155点做空。5185Point stop loss,5095Point stop surplus.

  今日关注重要数据(12month15):

  17:00 eurozone12Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value

  20:00 UK to12month15Bank of Japan interest rate decision

  21:30 From the United States to12month10Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week(ten thousand people)

  21:30 U.S.A11After adjusting the roseCPIMonthly rate

  23:30 From the United States to12month9Day and WeekEIANatural gas inventory(Billion cubic feet)

Author: Pu Jinming

  2016year12month15day
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