Fang Yuan said Jin:10.21US bond yields soaring, gold diving overnight, trend analysis...

goldTrend analysis:


   Friday(10month21day)亚洲时段，现货黄金在逾三周低位附近窄幅震荡，目前交投于1627美元附近，美国初请失业金人数意外减少，暗示美国劳动力市场依然强劲，美联储官员称年底时利率将远高于4%，可能需要持续加息，帮助美债收益率继续攀高，10年美债收益率刷新2008year6月以来高点，令金价反弹受阻。技术面显示，金价仍有进一步下行风险。


   黄金周四先涨后跌，先涨不是趋势，收盘才是关键。不用看涨多高。要看最终的收盘位置来决定隔日的强弱延续，昨日一度触及到1645.46dollar|盎司高位，尾盘再承压转换下跌。将日内上涨空间尽数回吐，且收在低位，日线收盘一根小阴十字K线。如昨日日评预期，反弹不过临界点1646.短线看空依旧，虽然盘中反弹略高，但好在尾盘收回在1640下方。今日有望进一步走低。消息方面：上周初请失业金人数数据强劲，以及费城联邦储备银行主席哈克的评论急剧了对美联储加息，以及可能使经济陷入衰退的担忧。


   4小时伴随了一波反抽确认顶底转换的阻力点，尾盘承压收在低位，那么昨日的反弹高点就是一个短期的修正阻力点，也是多空临界点，比较鲜明的层次感或者说是下行台阶，由1684to1672 1667to1645高点慢慢下移，反弹力度开始减弱，均线指标也由这种先弹后跌收低之后带动死叉拐头向下。今日短线看进一步走低。布林道刚好触及到中轨承压收回低位，中轨通常是短期强弱分界。守住之下收盘短线看空。1小时图过山车式的冲高回吐，相对于昨日先弹后跌，今日开盘在低位，整理之后有望创新低。今日阻力在1636-1640.临界点在1645.50.


Suggestions for Gold Operations:1636-1640附近依旧空防守1646.50target1620-1615。


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crude oilMarket trend analysis;



   原油周四冲高回落，自84.5震荡上行，冲至87一线，未能延续上涨，零晨大回落最低到达84.1，日线收于85一线，从日线看油价受阻于87一线，收于中轨处，87不破油价继续回调，处于大区间震荡，从四小时线和小时线，布林轨平行，短时内呈87-84区间震荡，日内先看84一线能否有效支撑，破位则下跌83-82，综述日内操作思路上方以87为分水岭，先看区间震荡。

　　【原油策略】

　　1，86.8-87Empty, stop loss0.4, Objective86-85.5

　　2Follow84得失，此位不破84.2One more time, stop loss0.4, Objective85-85.5

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