Dingsheng Jinshi:9.22今日黄金走势分析，黄金上演过山车走势，...

——9.22goldAnalysis——


　　凌晨受美联储利率决定影响，黄金先回落跌回至前低1654一线，随后受鲍威尔讲话前后不搭的影响，黄金上演过山车走势，冲高测压1688一线后又回吐上涨空间，最终日线收得一带有上下影线的小阳。


　　从日线结构上来看，凌晨黄金虽有下跌，但未跌破前低1654，还是在预期的中期支撑区域止跌，说明市场对于此技术支撑还是有一定的依赖性的，但美联储毕竟如期的大幅加息，且最终的整体基调也是偏鹰的，也就导致今日开盘后短线行情再度下跌调整，目前下方继续关注前低1654附近争夺。在美联储暗示年内可能再加息100-125基点的情况下，年内黄金想要强势回弹的可能性不会很大，且如果在下一次利率决定或下下次利率决定前，市场再度炒作大幅加息预期，那么黄金势必还会有一波再跌过程，这在黄金长线上是有预期的，届时回撤至长线趋势支撑1600的可能性还是比较大的。但是目前行情对于加息已经有所消化，且美指处于中期上涨趋势压力位，黄金处于中期下跌趋势支撑位，只要市场对美联储大幅加息预期有所消化和接受，那么短线行情大概率是会有一个缓和回弹的过程的，但是回弹幅度不会很大，属于技术性的超跌反弹，毕竟市场整体基调还是期待美联储大幅下跌的。


　　结合小时图走势，凌晨黄金下跌1654后走高测压1688，随后又跌回1670下方，这都是拜鲍威尔讲话前后不搭所赐，市场情绪不稳定，今日开盘更是延续一波下跌，再测1660下方，不过这样的走势也给出了上方10Daily line1690压制的有效性，同时也确认了下方1660-50一带作为中期支撑的有效性，预期未来短期内行情可能会继续围绕此区域进行震荡，略显偏弱，但如果时间上能耗得起，还是会有一定的回弹预期的。


You can follow above the daily gold5Daily line1670The competition for this position, as a short-term pressure, may continue to be a process of repeated competition, which will also determine whether the short-term market sentiment is biased towards being empty or more positive. Keep looking at the main pressure above10Daily line1690In the early morning, under the influence of fundamentals, the technical kinetic energy is limited, which means that if the technical rebound does not break this pressure, the overall state is still relatively empty. Stay tuned below for the day as well1655-50In the early morning support test, under strong fundamental pressure, this level did not break, indicating that the technical support effect is also relatively strong, and there may be a certain rebound in the short term. However, do not expect too much level, it is only a technical short-term oversold rebound. In terms of operation, conservatively speaking, one can continue to choose to wait and see until the market sentiment stabilizes and the market trend stabilizes before making plans to participate. Activism revolves around the above range for short-term low, high, and short-term operations, with opportunities for both long and short positions. However, no matter how long or short, it is not advisable to expect too much to prevent the risk of further abnormal fermentation of market instability.


　　①日内下方回撤1655/54一线，激进可尝试一次轻仓短多，跌回1650下方手动止损，目标看1660附近回弹先减仓改保本止损，测压1667-70再做减仓，如果能回到1670上方，则保留部分持单看进一步回弹测压1680、1690再做减仓。


　　②日内上方回弹1670附近，激进以极轻仓仓位短空一次，带止损1673Look at the target below1660附近即减仓改保本止损，剩余持单下看1655附近减离。


　　③如果日内行情翻上1670上方站稳，那么改变短线思路，届时能否考虑追短多有待实时策略调整，但是即便追短多，上方也仅看1680、1690压力，且随时可能再有承压，届时也再根据实际情况考虑能否搏短空。


　　④如果日内行情跌破1650，则暂时观望，不再做任何参与打算，具体根据实际走势情况再做调整。


　　——9.22crude oilAnalysis——


　　原油近期波动较难预测，方向不明确，反转性较强，一个交易日一个涨跌，周一下跌，周二上涨，周三再跌，都没有走出合理的延续性，周三下跌后再次触及82低点，不过规律性看，原油涨跌并没有打开H4周期的布林区间，因此，原油大概率按照技术面会继续上涨走震荡区间。以82为防守看涨，到欧美盘看86.2压制，欧美盘然后过不破86.2继续看震荡，如果破位86.2再看顺势行情。


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!