Dingsheng Jinshi:9.15今日黄金走势分析，多头顾虑加重难以扭转...

——Message surface analysis——


Thursday（9month15Asian period, spotgold震荡走弱，一度创一周新低至1693.51dollar/Ounces, although in the United StatesPPIThe data is slowing down as expected, providing a breathing space for gold bulls. Geopolitical factors are also supporting gold prices, but the Federal Reserve will at least raise interest rates next week75The expectation of one basis point continues to drag down gold prices, and many analysts are weighing interest rate hikes100The possibility of one basis point has raised concerns among gold bulls. In the short term, there is still a risk of further decline in gold prices, and spot gold continues to be monitored7month21Daily low point1680Support near the gate.


On this trading day, the changes in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States, as well as the United States, will be announced8Monthly retail sales rate and US8The monthly industrial output rate, among which retail sales data, commonly known as "terrorist data," has a significant market impact and investors need to pay close attention.


　　——9.15今日黄金行情走势分析——


　　黄金昨日持续低位震荡，虽有回弹，但依旧未破1710压力，晚间行情再见回落，跌回1700下方，日线也再收得一阴线。


　　日线结构上，很明显在周二大阴线的影响下，市场情绪发生了质的转变，看空情绪浓重，虽然多头依旧有想法，但是上方5、10日线承压明显，且基本面市场对美联储继续大幅加息预期浓重，所以黄金后期行情再度下破也是大概率事件。根据日线结构，后期黄金如果能偏强一些，则可能会以弱势震荡的方式去下探1680附近，在此止步后持续震荡，以等待利率决定影响。如果大幅加息，则黄金顺势再跌一波，跌至此前预期的1660-50长周期支撑处；如果美联储加息幅度意外缩减，则黄金或借着1680进行回升反弹。而如果黄金整体状态偏弱，随着美联储利率决定的临近，不排除市场出现一波恐慌逃离的风险，即在美联储利率决定前，黄金持续阴跌，跌破1680，或直接在1660-50区域内止步，再等待美联储利率决定，那么届时美联储无论是否大幅加息，黄金都可能不太会有太多下跌空间，因为利空空间已经被透支，届时行情或有可能走止跌回弹路线。


　　结合小时图走势，目前黄金已经跌回1700下方，行情在1695有暂缓，但依目前市场情绪来看，还是有延续下跌可能性的，即便止步回弹，动能也会非常弱，昨日回弹幅度不大已经证明当前市场情绪基本一边倒的看空状态。日内下方先关注1695-90争夺，此处可能会有支撑作用，但是不强，也未必能带来回升空间，所以此位不做参与打算。下方着重先关注1680附近支撑测试，如果回撤至此有止步，再考虑反向的搏短多，且也只能作为超短线尝试，主思路还是以持空，以及择高再短空为主。


　　——日内黄金操作策略参考——


　　①前期遗留的空单，一概与1695-90一带可再做部分减仓，依旧不要出完，保留部分持单继续看1680附近，甚至保留看1660-50Expectations.


　　②日内上方关注1700整数位压力，激进可在回弹至此再轻仓追空，至1703轻仓补空，统一将止损带至1705Above, look down at the target1695-90区域也依旧减仓改保本止损。如果日内行情意外持续走高，那么上方依旧关注1707/08、1710附近压力，届时再做短空考虑。


　　③日内下方1695-90一带预期会有争夺，但保守者此位还是选择观望，激进可在1692-90附近以极轻仓仓位尝试一次超短多，严格设前期低点止损1687, look at the goal1697-1700区域即可减离出局。


　　④日内行情如果持续下跌，跌至1683-80区域，激进可再考虑短多，带止损5US dollars, look at the target1687-90先减仓改保本止损即可。


　　——9.15todaycrude oilMarket trend analysis——


　　油价周三上涨超1.5%，因国际能源监督机构预计，尽管需求前景仍然黯淡，但由于今冬价格高涨，从天然气转为石油取暖的情况会增加。国际能源署(IEA)预计，经济进一步放缓将导致全球石油需求增长在今年第四季度陷入停滞。这使得油价在近期一直处于压力之下，并可能抑制未来涨势。技术面，短线油价偏强运行，价格自下轨反弹再次逼近中轨附近，之前我们强调过，一旦原油价格站上中轨将开启新一轨攻势，今日需要留意中轨破位企稳情况，日内短线操作逢低做多为主，高空辅助，上方关注90.5One line of resistance, pay attention below86.5Frontline support.


Crude Oil Strategy: Recommendations87.5上做多，止损86.5, Objective90；


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!