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goldMarket trend analysis;
8Month Wednesday(8month24During the Asian session, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading in1746.22Nearby the US dollar, most of the overnight gains were temporarily held up. On Tuesday, due to US real estate data andPMIPoor data performance has brought the US dollar closer20The near annual high has fallen, and data from the eurozone and the UK have also heightened market concerns about global economic weakness. Geopolitical concerns have increased, providing some rebound momentum for gold prices. However, the market still generally expects Powell to deliver a hawkish speech this week, with current interest ratesfuturesdisplay9Monthly interest rate hike75The probability of a basis point increase and the rise in US bond yields have left gold prices under pressure below the mid range of the Bollinger Line, and there is still a certain risk of a decline in short-term gold prices. Overall, although the US dollar rose and fell on Tuesday9Monthly interest rate hike75Expectations of a basis point increase. Prior to Powell's speech on Friday, there is still a chance for the US dollar to further strengthen, and US bond yields have also risen to weeks of highs, which is also unfavorable for gold prices. There is still a risk of further decline in the future market for gold prices; Of course, it is also necessary to guard against the possibility of a sharp deterioration in the geopolitical situation between Russia and Ukraine. In the short term, gold prices may even have some rebound opportunities, and concerns about global economic recession may also limit the downward space of gold prices.
黄金技术面分析;黄金昨日下探回升收阳,日线转阳结束了此前的六连阴下跌。美元稍有回落,黄金回升转为震荡。最低回测1730After stabilizing on the first line, it rebounded to1754.Ending disc closed in1746.The daily line turns positive and rebounds to correct. Today's bullish and bearish continuation determines the strength of the week, and the weak rebound does not continue to be positive. If there is a further rebound, the closing price will be1754Above, in the short term, there will be a counterattack trend. On the contrary, if it can quickly turn negative and fall today, then continue to look downward. That is to say, today's closing position is crucial and needs to be carefully monitored. 4Hours for1807The high point experienced a wave of decline and is currently in the process of rebounding and correcting the wave shape. Yesterday, it touched the previous conversion to break through the low point for the first time1754There are slight signs of pressure, but whether it can turn down today is the key. After coordinating with rebound correction in the downward wave pattern, confirm the high point of the second wave, and if it is blocked and then breaks low, it will extend downward. Therefore, in the short term today, we need to compete1728-1730The gains and losses are the key to whether the two waves can continue, and only after breaking the low can they further expand and open up space.1The hour chart broke through yesterday's downward trend and rebound structure1750The downward trend line causes the small cycle to enter a correction of oscillation. The short line needs to be reoriented, which means4小时的波浪的转换选择。是构造下行波浪还是反转有待确认。趋势而言还是倾向于下行,目前的反弹当作是修正。综上所述,今日黄金操作思路上李胜溢建议回调做多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方关注1760-1765USD resistance, follow below1735-1740Support,
Spotcrude oil方面,反复测试低点后形成探底回升的走势,扫荡向上攀升走高,昨日周二延续上涨的节奏,借助沙特暗示接下来将减产支撑油价的消息,价格向上攀升走高,且保持高位横盘。
对于延续上涨过后的行情,需要留意的就是修正,修正的方式宜空间修正为主,幅度少则20美元,多则40USD.
最近一波修正完成后开启了昨日周二的延续性上涨,价格持续向上攀升走高冲刺。
没有修正直接一气呵成的攀升,那么在冲刺过后就需要谨防空间修正了。
0824crude oil.png
白盘看价格先行压制进入空间修正,但价格突破高点后更进一步加速冲刺走高来到95关口区域。
动力尚未释放结束,那么接下来等待全部放完后再去参与空单看回落,幅度仍是关注20About USD.
现在临近阻力点95.2,再往上的阻力点关注96.2。
下方支撑关注93.6-93.2Region, followed by92.0-91.5Scope.
参考这个思路,在价格冲刺95关口后开始进入横盘跳转,防守高点上方,在94.6将空单接回,看价格承压回落,跌回94关口后继而寻找到低点93.2区域,破低进一步加速。
以上是现货原油的价格,在此基础上+0.14即是期货原油价格
Crude oil94.6空单接回,止损95.2, Objective93.6-93.0
对应期货原油进场点94.74
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