How to analyze the rise and fall trend of futures, crude oil, and gold today? Recommended Guide for Paper Silver Operation

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Analysis of Gold Trends

Monday(7month25day)进入欧市盘中，随着经济增长放缓的担忧笼罩本周开局，股市走弱，美元在美联储7月决议前走弱，现货黄金价格小幅走高，目前重返1730Above the US dollar, the highest touch1736水平，此前在早期交易中下跌0.2%。上周五，金价触及一周多以来的高点。黄金价格在周一稍早下跌后企稳，受美债收益率走低和美元小幅回落提振，同时投资者对美联储本周加息75个基点做好了准备。在全球经济衰退担忧的背景下，美国国债收益率下降支撑了黄金，本周的主要焦点将是周三结束的美联储为期两天的政策会议，市场预期美联储将升息75个基点。随着美联储收紧政策和美元走强削弱了黄金作为避险资产的吸引力，盖过了对通胀和经济放缓的担忧，金价正走向第四个月下跌。

　　技术面，日线级别黄金上周五收报一根长上影阳K线，收盘价站上了短期10均线，但同时上影线暗示1739下压制也存在，加之短趋势仍还处于下跌通道，空头趋势不变，反弹只作为一种短期修正，随时容易压制打回原形；日线级别短期压力关注1739、1745、1752三处，短期支撑关注1715、1698、1690、1680四处；离宣布加息还有两个交易日时间，直接很快跌破1680概率可能不大，即便下穿了也容易马上快速回抽上行；4小时级别晚间关注小区间1728-1723上下有效得失破位情况，陈嘉哲倾向于是向下破位，走加息前的压制回测过程，下方留意10均线收盘价，一旦成功处于10日下，则很快会试探中轨1712一线，然后就是1700下方去回补和修正下短期的顶背驰指标，因此晚间黄金操作上陈嘉哲建议反弹做空为主。以上文章由陈嘉哲撰写文/YJY33388

Analysis of silver trend

　　白银方面：周线目前还是连阴下挫，走势比黄金弱很多；日线级别还未站上10均线，短期还是极弱表现，处于底部区间酝酿；今日短线压力关注顶底位置18.7Frontline, support18.35-18.3，先留意此区间上下得失，往下破位则会指向18.1、17.8；以上文章由陈嘉哲撰写文/YJY33388

　　crude oilTrend analysis

Monday(7month25day)International oil prices have fallen by more than1%，延续近期跌势，因市场担心美国大幅加息将抑制经济，进而削弱燃料需求。美联储料在7month26Solstice27日的会议上加息75个基点。但西方对俄石油实施价格上限企图料适得其反，并重新拉高油价。futures市场仍处于严重的现货溢价状态，这表明在现实世界中，现货供应与以往一样紧张，然而，全球对衰退的担忧加剧表明，撇开地缘政治因素不谈，短期内的涨幅可能有限。石油期货最大的问题是，最近出现的令人难以置信的日内波动，很可能会降低风险仓位，从而降低交易流动性。负反馈循环可能会加剧价格波动。

Author's message:

The answer to all questions is never unique and unchanging. Whether the market is going up or down, you cannot control it yourself. Only by keeping up with the pulse of the market can you avoid being eliminated. The market cannot always go up or down, and what is certain is that it will always go right. Risk is an objective, inevitable, and under certain conditions, it also has certain regularity, so we should pay more attention to risk control in operation.

This article is provided by Chen Jiazhe. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Chen Jiazhe provides online solutions, loss recovery, and one-on-one real-time guidanceQ--Q;2702332902 VX:YJY33388Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.