Xiao Yizhou:7.11The overall upward trend of gold is weak, and the analysis and operational strategy of the night trend.

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　　萧毅舟——以下是日内黄金原油日内最新走势分析及具体操作策略

Analysis of Gold Market Trend:

　　黄金上周大幅度下跌，创下近期单周最大跌幅，相对于此前的小阴回落来回拉锯，上周重挫连失关键支撑，击穿颈线1787之后形成浪形加速下行，最低一度至1729.周线收盘一根大阴K线。日线三连阴下挫之后，周尾两个交易日低位整理修正，日线伴随双十字K线修正，在下跌趋势中的短暂停顿修正，反弹空间不大，属于弱势修正手法，均线指标已空头发散，修正之后继续看进一步下跌。消息方面：美国非农数据大幅好于预期，强化了美联储7Continue to raise interest rates on a monthly basis75个基点的决心，对全球经济衰退担忧的加剧，也提振了美元避险情绪。美元大涨。

　　美联储上周公布的6月政策会议纪要显示，不断恶化的通胀形势促使美联储官员围绕大幅加息展开行动。加息利好美元和美债收益率，提升持有非孳息资产黄金的机会成本。从6月会议纪要可以看出，本月晚些时候继续加息75个基点的可能性在加大，而不是50Basis points.

　　4小时连阴下挫创新低，上周五稍有停顿，局部收缩修正，从反弹空间来决定修正的强弱，反弹空间小，以横向整理修正代替反弹，属于弱势修正的走法，后市仍看进一步走低，在未形成止跌之前，依旧不言底。1小时布林道开始收口，短线收敛震荡，而从日线来看，已经整理了两个交易日，过渡整理修正当中。为走低再蓄势。周初在整理反弹之中择机高空。初步有阻力依旧在1750-1755.先维持上轨处高空，看下轨落袋一半再看破位。

　　午夜黄金操作建议：1745-1750Separate air defense1756.50target1732-1725Drop the bag halfway and take a closer look.

Analysis of crude oil market trend:

　　美油日内开盘即震荡回修，并未能延续上周四五的上涨势头，行情低点跌回至101.6一线，虽然回撤在预期内，但日内持续的回落节奏还是超出预期判断的，这也说明市场对上周四五异常拉升行情的不认可，短线走势节奏也因日内走势有所改变，因此晚间也需要适当的调整策略以及预期。晚间美油上方关注103.8Short pressure, follow below5Daily line100支撑争夺.

　　午夜原油操作建议：反弹103.5Short nearby, stop loss104.1Stop surplus102-101；

Yizhou Case Sharing:

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