Yu Yue on Jin:6.23黄金原油晚间操作策略及行情走势分析

　　【gold】



　　黄金白盘如预期延续震荡回修，欧盘时段下方回撤至1823On the first line, the low point of the pullback is basically near the expected downward channel, and the market rebounded significantly before late trading. At one point, the upward pressure was measured to1843frontline. From the hourly chart structure, gold is retreating during the day1823附近后出现回弹是符合技术预期的，但目前的短时回弹幅度还是显得偏大的，但也未超出预期范畴。不过目前行情回升至均线带下方后，短线走势也就具备了变盘的风险性，因为晚间美联储主席鲍威尔将有讲话，如果提及美联储加息相关，偏鹰则将再度打压黄金回落，而倘若不及市场预期的偏鹰，则黄金很有可能会站回到20日线上方，但即便如此，黄金依然很难有持续回升动能，所以操作上也并期待行情能够趋势反转回升。



　　晚间操作上，保守者暂作观望，不做参与打算，有待事件平息稳定后再择机参与，激进则继续尝试进行短线区间操作，但也务必要注意基本面事件带来的风险。



　　①欧盘时段如有1823附近参与多单的，目前1838-40区域可进行减仓改保本止损操作，可保留部分持单看美联储主席讲话内容带来的影响，如果冲破1843压力，上方可期待在1850附近再做最终了结。



　　②鉴于欧盘时段短时回弹幅度过大，晚间暂时不考虑空单参与，上方关注1840-43区域压力测试，如果想尝试参与，可在此区域内进行，但需严格带止损1845Above, look down at the target1837-35区域即做减仓改保本止损，剩余持单看美联储主席讲话内容对行情的影响。



　　③保守者晚间暂时不做参与打算，规避美联储官员以及美联储主席近期频繁讲话带来的人为扰动风险。





　　crude oilLatest market analysis:



Technical analysis of crude oil: Yesterday's Little Yang Star of crude oilKLine sorting and leveling, with the highest rebound reaching111.16一线承压，尾盘相对还是收在了低位，今日开盘后开始走弱，日线经过两个交易日的整理修正，短线有进一步下行的迹象，整理后的转换走弱。4The rebound correction in the downward step of the hour, which hit the pressure on the Bulling Road mid track yesterday, although it did not lower in the end of the day, it began to decline at the beginning of today's trading, with signs of a downward break near the low point,4Looking back at the hour.1The extended wave in the downward wave of the hour chart, the previous high point of the step has not been recovered, and yesterday's rebound was also the last high point of the previous late rebound112.20下方承压。短线仍有下行风险，初步支撑在上周五低点106.40附近，如果失守该支撑，则可能会进一步跌向布林线下轨103.30附近，甚至是5month19Daily low point100.66附近。不过，油价连续两天在106.40附近获得支撑，55日均线支撑也在该位置附近，周一更是录得了十字星，需要提防油价重拾涨势的可能性，初步阻力在5Daily moving average111.09附近，布林线中轨阻力在112.53附近，若能顶破该阻力，则增加短线看涨信号。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路上文博建议以反弹高空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期重点关注106.8-107.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below102.5-102.0Frontline support. Real time market changes,



　　【白银】：昨日白银市场早盘开盘在21.548The market will step back after the position21.479After its position, the market rose and the daily line reached its highest point21.931After the market rose and fell, the daily line finally closed at21.677的位置后行情以一根上影线很长的倒锤头形态收线，而这样的形态收尾后，今日的行情早盘探底拉升后。综合来看，上方关注22First line pressure, following below20.8一线支撑，操作上建议21.75Empty, stop loss21.9, look at the goal21.33-21.



GoldTD】：黄金TD在周一周二冲高触及398.23承压回落，盘中最低跌至394.8受到支撑收盘于395.26。周线黄金价格至400.61回落开始， 价格最低跌至393.41，上行较强压力高点在400。日线布林带逐步缩口，布林中轨下行发展，4小时布林带下行开口，黄金短期趋势保持弱势。综合来看，上方短期关注400First line pressure, following below387一线支撑，操作上建议396.55Near empty, stop loss398, look at the goal393-390。



　　【白银td】：白银TD在周二冲高4723承压回落，在跌破4698以后明显承压，一路下跌最低跌至4676企稳反弹，最终收盘于4699。周线K线形态保持弱势形态，上方4752-4800是上行的两大压力位，下方最近支撑在4600。日线布林带平行发展，4小时布林带下行开口，短期整体走势保持弱势格局。综合来看，上方关注4800First line pressure, following below4570一线支撑，操作上建议4700Near empty, stop loss4760, look at the goal4630-4600。