Yu Yue on Jin:6.20Analysis of the evening market trend of gold and crude oil and the latest operational suggestions...

　　　goldLatest market analysis:



　　黄金技术面分析：黄金上周受美储利率决定的影响，表现震荡回弹，但又没有实际上涨动能，上方触及1857一线后有所承压回修，周五收得一阴线，依旧处在日线级别均线带之间震荡运行。日线结构上，黄金短线方向不是很明朗的状态，上周受基本面的影响反倒走势更显混乱，来回在日均线带之间反复争夺，导致整体走势结构更倾向于大区间的横盘震荡状态。如果这种横盘震荡延续时间加长，对于黄金整体结构而言反倒是很不利的，有扩大中长线下跌空间的可能性。而如果黄金要回升，基本面目前似乎又没有太过明确的支持，所以这也是困扰黄金走势的关键因素之一，中长线角度来看，黄金也就可能会更偏空一些。



From the golden hour chart, it can be seen that last Friday's gold price fluctuated and corrected, forming a short-term downward correction channel. Currently, the downward trend has only run for two waves, and it is expected that there may be another wave of retreat adjustment within the day. Please pay attention below1833-30、1826/25Short support test nearby, can be followed above1845Nearby short pressure, main pressure depends on1848-50The stress test in the area is expected to be relatively light due to the closure of the US market on Monday. It is expected that there will not be much room for gold to fluctuate during the day. It can be roughly seen that the market will fluctuate within this range. If the market goes out of this range, further analysis and adjustment will be made based on the actual operating status. On Monday, gold was temporarily held at a short-term low but high level within the range. It is expected that trading in the market will be much lighter in the event of the US market being closed. Therefore, in actual operations, participation frequency and positions will be moderately reduced to avoid control risks caused by light trading. In summary, it is recommended that the trading strategy for gold today should focus on rebounding and short selling, supplemented by retracing and long selling, with short-term attention from the upper echelons1852-1857Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1830-1825Frontline support.



　　crude oilLatest market analysis:



　　原油技术面分析：原油日线震荡上涨后回调，MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉，油价失守布林线中轨，日线级别，周初要留意前期上行通道的下轨衍生支撑点106-105.8一线，其次再关注周线中轨104.8一线；小时线级别，隔夜大幅持续下挫，今日早盘在凌晨压力109.8下有所承压，短期走弱，不过价格一旦失守106.4隔夜低点，就容易步入底背弛状态而反抽，因此106-105.8一线支撑是值得首要留意的，阻力109.8，往上是111.2一线顶底位置和通道反压，强压112.2下大阴开跌口，只要破隔夜低点，112.2此位置也会成为跌幅618反抽压制点；操作上，可以依托支撑和阻力之间去做震荡操作，本周预计倾向于周线探底拉升，回归大宽幅区间内反复为主。综上所述总结：原油震荡下破形成大阴线，周线预期还有回调的概率，所以原油今日操作思路上建议以反弹高空为主，回踩低多为辅，上方短期关注111.3-111.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below106.5-106.0Frontline support.