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Guide Metallographer:5.24今日黄金最新行情解析,多头强势创两周新高

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Last Friday(5month20day),美市尾盘,现货黄金收报1846.22element/Ounces, up4.22USD or0.23%The highest daily hit1849.33dollar/Ounces, lowest touch1832.20dollar/盎司、上周现货黄金上涨34.81USD or1.92%。,最低触及1786.48.20附近、整体黄金来说上周现货黄金上涨34.81USD or1.92%。

  尽管金价短期内上涨,但基本面前景依然看跌。实际收益率的上升增加了投资无利息收益的黄金的机会成本,而全球市场已经接受了东欧在打拉锯战。全球经济增长面临的风险也抑制了对这种用于工业应用的金属的需求、从收益率角度来看,关注加息预期,寻找美联储未来加息步伐可能放缓的初步线索,这可能令黄金受益、本周,如美联储会议纪要放鹰,黄金或迎来一波涨势。

Federal ReserveFOMC的委员们一致投票同意,五月会议加息50个基点,将联邦基金利率目标区间提升至0.75%-1%。鲍威尔重申美联储6Month and7月可能各加息50个基点,并表示早点加息可能会更好。因市场对美国经济衰退的担忧升温,上周美元指数大跌逾1%,远离多年高位,给金价反弹提供机会,而地缘局势担忧也有所升温,在金价持续下跌后,帮助吸引逢低买盘,给金价提供反弹动能,目前已经突破1850to1860Near.

Analysis of the trend of gold market;

Monday(5month23day)国际金价创一周半新高至1865.25美元盎司,受助于美元走软。尽管美国国债收益率上涨限制了以美元计价的黄金涨幅,但黄金也政经不确定性加剧的时候也被视为避险资产,美元指数下滑,因投资者愈发担忧美联储加速升息可能给经济带来的负面冲击。圣路易斯联储主席布拉德上周重申了他的观点,即美联储今年应该将利率提高至3.5%,以便更快地控制高通胀。指南金师认为:关于黄金是否摆脱了中期下行趋势,还是仅仅因美元持续回调而上涨,目前尚无定论。在转向结构性看涨之前,我需要看到黄金在美元走强的情况下保持近期涨幅。10年期美债收益率在连续三个交易日下跌后走强,限制了对非孳息资产黄金的需求,但美元疲软使黄金对海外买家更具吸引力,且黄金也被视为经济危机期间的避险资产。宏观经济前景恶化以及通胀上升仍应支持黄金,股市表现不佳的风险上升增强了其分散风险的吸引力。目前美国经济陷入衰退的风险越来越大,美国经济陷入衰退的原因要么是通胀上升,要么是美联储的政策失误。指南金师认为近期美元的升势似乎正在消退,技术上金价似乎正在反弹,金融市场仍存在很多不确定性和波动性。”

  黄金从技术面来看,黄金上周下探回升收阳,周初下探1786After stabilizing on the first line, it quickly rebounded, and after falling on the second wave of the daily line, it was accompanied by a rebound correction. The weekly harvest yields a central yangKLine. Fifty words on the daily lineKLine sorting, combined with the rebound of the previous day's positive line. The daily line is still in the process of rebound correction, crossKLine start stability10Above the daily line, there is still room for further upward rebound in the short term, while the daily line shows a continuous positive rebound performance. Breaking the previous extremely weak decline, we still need to pay attention to the direction selection after the rebound this week. Whether to continue the decline after the rebound correction or form a reversal remains to be determined.4The hour chart undergoes a small level of two wave rebound, with1786Make a wave of rebound to1836Afterwards, step back1807.Pushing the second wave up again, of course, is a small-scale rebound wave shape, and the current space is not yet certain whether it is a reversal of the rise. Currently, the second wave rebound is continuing. The short-term moving average turns upwards to form temporary support.1Hour chart surrounding270单位均线反复。目前处于整理突破大均线当中。站稳之后,小时图会走出一波多头发散式的反弹向上。反弹的过程中遇阻力也会承压回落,整体节奏还是震荡式的。反弹的空间由形态来决定大小。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议回调低多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注1865-1870Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1830-1835Frontline support.

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