Guide Metallographer:5.18晨间今日走势分析，黄金还会上涨吗？

Precious metal related information:

Specific data shows that the United States4月零售销售月率实际公布0.90%, expected0.8%, Previous value0.5%； U.S.A4月零售销售年率实际公布8.19%, Previous value6.9%。 U.S.A4月核心零售销售月率实际公布0.60%, expected0.3%, Previous value1.1%。 U.S.A4Monthly retail sales rate recorded0.9%Create this year1月以来新高。分析师指出，出色的经济数据可能只是误导。美国一季度经济意外萎缩1.4%，远低于预期的增长1.1%。即使市场接受了贸易逆差导致经济萎缩的解释，但如果二季度后经济陷入衰退，美联储要想继续加息就得顶着巨大的压力。这可能是市场预期FOMC6Month and7月会议将各加息50个基点的最有力理由，

Internationalgold（GOLD)

Gold opened today at1824.65dollar/盎司，出现了先涨后跌走势，最高触及1836水平遇阻回撤，低点给到1819一线徘徊。黄金日线级别，昨日收报一根较长下影锤头阳K线，这种形态的出现是短期有企稳作用的，第二日则以回测跟多看反弹延续对待；不过，当前走势还只是反弹修正，并未反转，多空拐点位置继续关注10average1850一线，也会近期持续阴跌下降通道的上轨承压处，只有收盘远站上此位置或者连阳站上，才能彻底终结弱势格局，扩大反弹需求，甚至逐步具备反转多头的条件；今日短期压力1836测试，突破则关注1840一线其中通道一处的反压，强压则是1850一线了；综上所述指南，金师总结：黄金出现探底回升走势，今日操作上考虑回撤布局多单为主，上方关注1843-1850水平阻力，下方关注1817-1810USD support.

　　crude oilTechnical analysis:

　　原油上周五强势上涨收高，回测106.30一线启稳后一路强势上涨逼近前期高点，本周开盘跳空高开再创新低，周线收盘强势收复，将周初下跌失地尽数收回且创出新高点，从周线的收盘情况来看，本轮的回调每次都是点到中轨即止，中轨也成为了周线的多头防守关键点，失守中轨才能中期向下调整，反之守住还将继续维持在高位整理反复摸高。日线一波连阳式强势收复失地，重新从下轨回到了上轨，目前上轨轻微张口。使得空间有向上延续的可能，但也不排除回归区间拉锯。

　　4小时宽基数拉锯震荡，下跌快收复也快。从目前的结构来看，短期站上均线上方且均线指标拐头向上形成支撑，同时也上破了此前的高点。短线有进一步延续之势，但上行空间也是边走边看。由于反复拉锯的空间结构频率较多，本周也不排除冲高回落再进行回撤，操作上需要结合形态灵活应对。综上所述，今日原油操作思路上指南建议以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，短期上方重点关注116.0-116.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below110.5-110.0Frontline support.

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