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【goldAnalysis of the Latest Market Trends
Wednesday(5month11日)亚洲时段,现货黄金延续跌势失守200日均线,一度创近三个月新低至1831.30dollar/盎司,因美元重拾升势,同时投资者将注意力转向美国通胀数据,以寻找美联储货币政策策略的线索。尽管地缘局势依然动荡,但暂时被市场忽略,机构认为美国股市可能暂时见底,也对金价不利。技术面来看,金价存在跌向1800关口的可能性。分析师称,“起初金价显示出可能企稳的迹象 ,但在通胀数据公布前,投资者仍感到紧张。美元走强正在殃及黄金……尽管我们看到债券市场抛售暂停,但很明显,投资者不会立即重返金市”。分析师说:“鉴于美国国债收益率下跌,黄金应该会更好,但投资者更愿意转投股票。如果美国通胀大幅加速,金价将跌向每盎司1800美元。市场分析师表示,黄金可能面临更多下跌压力,因通胀数据可能高于市场预期,强化美联储紧缩的理由,并推动美元继续上涨。投资都将注意力转向美国通胀数据,从而来寻找美联储货币政策策略的线索。
From a technical perspective, gold further closed lower yesterday, as expected, with a bearish daily trendKAfter closing at a low level, it is highly likely that the next day's consolidation will break through the low point. Suppressing the rebound space of gold prices, ultimately forming a continuation of volume breaking through the low and closing at a low level. This morning, the opening further inertia fell, and the daily closing usually starts at a new low the next day, followed by a trend of oscillation and continuation. The rhythm is a unilateral continuation in a weak market, and the operation is smooth sailing, which is also the time to accumulate bands. Small profits rely on fluctuations, while large profits rely on one side.4The hour has stepped out of the low weak stage and gone down. As the rebound high point moves down, the rebound strength is decreasing, and the weak side can be more released. With a long period of consolidation, it further accumulates momentum to break through the low. After breaking through the low, today's resistance is1850.That is the transition point between the top and bottom. After breaking through the low last night, there was a slight pause here, and finally it closed down. Today, it directly fell and laid a weak foundation. Short term bearish sentiment remains unchanged. After the daily decline today, it will approach the support of the annual line. Today's touch is the first time it has been touched, and there may be a rebound. But considering that4小时的台阶形态,在未突破次高点之前,保持反弹做空思路不变,突破反转再调整思路。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上原金油建议反弹高空为主,回调低多为辅,上方重点关注1853-1855Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1820-1825Frontline support.
【crude oilAnalysis of the Latest Market Trends
Wednesday(5month11During the Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting99.32dollar/Barrel; Oil prices fell by more than2%, falling below100关口,为连续第二日下跌,创两周来最低,需求前景因疫情蔓延和日益增长的经济衰退风险而承压,市场对货币政策收紧的担忧令美元上涨,强势美元使原油对使用其他货币的买家来说更加昂贵。沙特石油大臣警告说,整个能源市场都在耗尽产能,可能推动价格上涨,阿联酋官员也表示,如果没有更多的全球投资,OPEC+将无法在疫后需求完全复苏情况下保证充足的石油供应。 分析师表示:“现在是动荡时期,每日的价格走势都过大了。欧盟国家继续犹豫是否要禁运俄罗斯石油,这也在很大程度令两个方向的考量都有所改变。”总体来看,APIData shows that US crude oil inventories have increased, and concerns about demand due to the spread of the pandemic have increased, dragging down oil prices; The expectation of further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve has led to concerns in the market about tightening monetary policy, causing the US dollar to rise and bearish oil prices; Follow within the dayEIA数据,以及美联储官员讲话,或进一步刺激油价走低。
Technically speaking, crude oil continued to be bearish yesterdayKThe line closed lower and overall met expectations. After falling at a high daily level and closing below the moving average, it is normal for the market to continue to decline in shade the next day. And yesterday, accompanied by a wave of rebound104.10After being under pressure, the trading volume at the end of the day broke through the low point of the Asian market, and continued to decline again when opening today. The main reason for yesterday's rebound was that the daily line closed at a low level again, and yesterday's rebound was mainly to drive the moving average index to turn downward. After yesterday's consolidation, today's direction is relatively clearer, relying on104.10Be bearish at the critical point, and adjust the direction when breaking through.4After a wave of high and consecutive negative declines in the hour, yesterday's single positive rebound correction was combined with a continuous negative break and a downward trend,4The hour formed a second downward trend, driving the moving average index to turn downwards.1Hourly rebound104.10The second highest point of the form step, after breaking through the low point, forms a channel for the step to oscillate and fall, while leading the way4The hourly moving average turns downwards to form a suppression.1The hourly chart has experienced a weak trend and continued to decline, breaking through the low point today100.50附近先行看空。空间结合形态来定,今日再进一步下跌就会靠近区间下轨,未破下轨之前,还是宽幅震荡,破位才能打开空间。综合来看,今日短线操作思路原金油建议以反弹高空为主,回调低多为辅,上方短期重点关注103.8-104Frontline resistance, short-term focus below95.5-96Frontline support.
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