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Liang Qiandong7.9黄金黄金原油涨跌频繁,多空解套策略及后市布局建议

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  goldMarket trend:
  
  消息面分析;国际现货黄金周三(7month8日)继续上涨。美国最高市场达到1817美元。黄金价格一举突破1800美元大关后突破了1810年大关,主要是由于市场对这一流行病的担忧,引起了人们对经济前景的担忧和黄金ETF持仓量的增加,所有这些都已成为黄金价格。从历史数据来看,与前一波的黄金牛市相比,当前的黄金牛市“仅”上涨了69%,而大多数黄金牛市上涨了400%以上。尽管较高的黄金价格意味着历史可能不会重演,但全球的刺激计划,负利率政策,通缩和滞胀贸易以及ETF流入持续创下新高,这将继续支撑黄金价格。未来,黄金仍有继续上涨的空间。
  
  技术面分析;黄金日线来看,单边上涨,黄金从今年的6month5day-7month8日,一个月的时间从1667Up to1818美元的高点,目前已经涨150美金的波动,这样的数据相对来说是比较可观的。那么尽然涨了这么多,黄金是否存在回调的可能性呢?技术层面来看。KDJ金叉高位延续,目前已经严重出现了超买的状态,随机指标略微承压,MACD金叉红色能量柱有所缩量,指示黄金涨势得到了一定限制,接下来有望展开回调之势。下方首先我关注的支撑在1800Pass, followed byMA5Daily moving average1785的支撑位,由于5Daily moving average and10日均线是金叉的存在,不破此为黄金后市还是一个偏向看好的趋势,再加上布林带开口向上,黄金大得趋势还是以看涨为主,短期有回调的风险。4小时来看,破位上涨,黄金破位九年新高,最高涨至1818First line, this position is gold4The suppression level of the hour level upward channel, based on past trends, will appear every time it reaches the suppression level of the channel30-40美金波幅的回调,如果这次成功,那么下方将会测试1800-1785Support position for. From a technical perspective:KDJAt high levels, there is already a serious overbought situation, and there may also be a demand for a pullback,MACDThe golden fork, with a deviated shape, indicates that there is still resistance at the high level of gold. If Gold Callbacks and Breaks1800关口支撑,那么接下来将去试探上行通道的支撑位1785一线位置。所以综合分析操作上梁乾东建议低多顺势做多为主,高位短空为辅。上方关注1820-1825One line of resistance, pay attention below1785-1790Frontline support.

  
  crude oil行情走势;
  
  消息面分析;美国WTI 8Monthly crude oilfuturesElectronic disk prices Wednesday(7month8day)Closing up0.26USD, increase0.64%Report40.88dollar/桶。油价周三收高,因美国汽油消费显示复苏迹象,但原油库存增加和冠状病毒感染病例上升限制了油价涨幅。与此同时,ICEBrent9The electronic price of monthly crude oil futures closed higher0.29USD, increase0.67%Report43.37dollar/桶。美油和布油连续第四个交易日每日百分比变动幅度在1%以下,尽管有消息称石油输出国组织(OPEC)成员国利比亚将重新开放其Es Sider油港,这将增加全球石油供应。
  
  技术面分析;原油日线级别40关口上方窄幅震荡;布林带持续收口,油价窄幅震荡于上轨与中轨之间,动能微弱;MACD高位死叉但绿柱能量较弱,而KDJ金叉、指数在70附近。梁乾东从技术面看,油价动能有限,短期料仍维持窄幅震荡格局。上行阻力位先看向41.63This is3month9日跳空下跌以来的最高点,同时与布林带上轨也接近,有较强阻力;若上破则看向200Daily moving average44.00附近。进一步阻力位留意3High point at the beginning of the month48.66And may even test2month20Daily high point54.66。下方支撑先简单留意布林带中轨38.86,若下破则看向布林带下轨36.15附近。进一步走低,留意100Daily moving average31.50;强支撑位下看4day3Daily high point29.13,一旦失守会助长市场看空情绪。4小时级别:震荡走高;布林带收口,油价位于布林带中轨与上轨之间;MACD死叉、但绿柱动能微弱,KDJPreliminary Golden Cross, Index at50附近。梁乾东认为油价短线料维持窄幅震荡。上行阻力方面,先留意41.08,这既接近布林带上轨,同时也是前一交易日高点处。若突破该压力位,则重点关注上周高点41.63。所以综合分析操作上梁乾东建议先空再多,上方关注41.5-41.7One line of resistance, pay attention below39.5-39.7Frontline support.
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