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Liang Qiandong7.2外汇黄金原油走势预测,黄金多单解套

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-----goldreal-time info-----




  




Wednesday(7month1日)现货黄金维持在1780美元上方窄幅震荡,金价周二突破1780美元,升至2012year10月以来最高水平,创下自2016year3月以来的最大季度涨幅。因全球疫情病例与日俱增,使得投资者对黄金的避险需求保持活跃。随着金价突破擦前高位震荡区间,令押注多头的交易受到鼓舞。长期以来被认为是对冲通胀和货币贬值工具的黄金,在多国推出刺激措施以支持受疫情打击的经济的推动下连续第三个月上涨。日内关注美联储6月纪要有关收益率曲线控制的措辞、美国ADP就业人数、以及6monthISMmanufacturingPMI。值得注意,如果金价持稳于1780美元上方,短期料测试1800美元大关。此外,还需关注美元的表现,美元在6月创下自去年12月以来最差月度表现。经济复苏的预期和美国疫情二次蔓延使得美元近期波动加剧,一旦市场消化了美国经济复苏的预期,需警惕避险资金再次流入美元,可能仍会限制黄金的涨幅。




  




Analysis of Gold Market Trend:




  




  技术面分析;黄金昨日窄幅区间震荡,最高1775.minimum1765.60.High level contraction consolidation closing, daily chart harvest with small yin starsKLine. entityKThe line is too small, and the long and short continuity is insufficient. The daily chart is still in10Strong consolidation of high positions above the daily line. There was limited room for yesterday's pullback. Indicating short-term or bullish strength. Organize and accumulate momentum horizontally. Underneath backtesting not broken1747低点。日图维持看涨趋势不变。梁乾东从4The hour is undergoing a cycle of yin and yang conversion. entityKThe small size of the line causes the space to begin to shrink, temporarily after the large positive line, the starKLine organization and accumulation. At present, there is no room for a breakthrough. HoweverKIn terms of line structure, last week we retreated and held on1745Above all, this week, before breaking this level, the short-term trend is mainly bullish, especially4小时完成了下探回升的收复。短线局部停顿倾向整理蓄势上涨。留意后市再次的发力冲高破高,既然没有顶部止涨。横向整理就当作是空头的蓄势准备。所以综合分析操作上梁乾东建议高空为主,低多为主,上方关注1788-1790One line of resistance, pay attention below1760-1758Frontline support.
Liang Qiandong7.2外汇黄金原油走势预测,黄金多单解套79 / author:Liang Qiandong / PostsID:1566319
  

  -----crude oilreal-time info-----




  




Crude oilfutures价格周二震荡微跌,处于横盘整理走势,投资者担心不断增加的新增病例将打击需求,另外,利比亚石油生产今年大幅减少后或将恢复,供应可能会增加;但API原油库存意外大幅下降,美国股市上涨,仍给油价提供支撑。OPEC 6月石油产量创至少20年最低,减产协议执行率高达107%; 路透一项调查发现,由于沙特阿拉伯和其他海湾阿拉伯成员国进行了额外自愿减产,石油输出国组织(OPEC)6月的石油产量降至20年来最低水平,这将OPEC减产协议执行率推高至100%以上,尽管伊拉克和尼日利亚未完全履行减产配额。调查发现,由13个成员国组成的OPEC 6月平均产量为2,26210000 barrels/Day5月修正后的水平低19210000 barrels/日。石油经纪商PVMofTamas Varga表示,“下半年需求料将回升,市场普遍认为OPEC+将会不负所望,在6Month and7月实现较高的减产协议执行率。




  




Analysis of crude oil market trend:




  




  原油昨日小幅收高,整体空间不大,最低回测38.80附近启稳,尾盘时段一波放量冲高至40.0.不过延续性不足,冲高后重新回踩39.。最终收盘在39.50附近。日图收成小阳K线,收盘不算强势,只能算作是震荡拉锯,虽然抬出40.0高点,但是过程相对拉锯,周线触碰30周线后有所承压。周线继续在夹角区间整理蓄势。趋势看涨,但短线可能停顿修正需要一定时间。原油4小时由于空间收缩,K线形态相对收敛,连阴线回撤后单阳拉起,但延续性不足。没强势连阳,探高后收出上影K线,短线暂时还在区间中拉锯。谨防冲高后再走回踩确认。小时图布林道开始收口,昨日上探布林道上轨仍收在上轨之下,同时轻微收缩当中。目前亚盘暂时看不出区间,等待欧美盘确认震荡区间后以盘中为准,暂时走不出单边强弱延续。综合来看,今日操作短线思路上梁乾东个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注40.8-41.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below38.5-38.8Frontline support.
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