国际油价“空欢喜”，石油巨头们或正面临它们的“雷曼时刻

beautifulcrude oilMessage surface:
美东时间周一，欧佩克+达成减产协议，国际油价大幅高开，美、布盘中振幅均超10%，截止收盘，NYMEX 5Monthly crude oilfuturesClosing down0.35USD, decline1.54%Report22.41dollar/Bucket. Brent6Monthly crude oil futures up0.26USD, increase0.83%Report31.74dollar/桶，国际油价“空欢喜”。一纸协议落地，持续了一个多月的油价战终于以“全球产油国携手减产”落下了帷幕。但是有迹象显示，这场和解或许来得太晚太慢了，油价战的后遗症早已开始显露，石油巨头们或正面临它们的“雷曼时刻”。即便核心OPEC成员国完全执行减产、其他同意5月减产的国家执行率为50%，减产规模也仅相当于较第一季供应减少43010000 barrels/Day, even ifG20更大幅度的减产也于事无补。根据12日达成的协议，墨西哥的减产额度为每天10万桶，而不是此前建议的每天40万桶，这表明墨西哥将自己的立场坚持到了最后，成为此次石油减产中最大赢家。而墨西哥之所以在减产额度问题上坚持不作出让步，主要是出于其国内能源产业政策的需要。
美原油技术面：
原油：日线低位震荡；日线图上看，目前MACD金叉，但KDJ拐头死叉且指数位于50附近，暗示多空胶着，后续可能行情仍以震荡为主。上行阻力先重点关注27一线附近，这里受布林带中轨压制，同时上周被多次测试，有较强阻力；4小时低位震荡；从4Looking at the hour chart,MACD死叉，但KDJ死叉且维持40下方，暗示短线空头占优，油价可能走势承压。下行支撑首先关注22关口，这是日内触及低位；
美原油日内操作建议：（05Contract)
1Suggest using25.0-25.5Consider short selling and stop losing near the US dollar0.5Points, target24.5-22.5Near the US dollar;
2Suggest using22.0-21.5Consider going long near the US dollar and stopping losses0.5Points, target22.5-24.0Around the US dollar.
The content of the article is purely the author's remarks in the upcoming market（qsly1818）My personal opinion is that I do not recommend placing orders. The specific market situation is based on the intraday trend. There are risks in investing and caution is required when entering the market.
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