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Bo Hu Lun Jin:3.20疫情影响美就业数据出现恶化,黄金反应平淡维持震荡走低

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Thursday(3month19day)英国央行降低官方利率至0.10%,英镑兑美元短暂拉升后大幅下滑;美元指数连续第三日大涨,一度涨近2%, refresh2017year1From the highest point since the beginning of the month to102.84;因疫情影响忧虑提振美元需求。金价走低,现货goldfall1%to1471.25dollar/盎司,强势美元令金价承压,黄金投资者似乎正在退出一个越来越不稳定的市场。黄金的未平仓futures合约数量已降至七个多月以来最低;波动性指标则升至多年高点。黄金丧失避险吸引力的一个关键因素是全球经济下行压力较大,通胀疲软和低利率在未来一段时间是常态,而黄金作为对冲通胀的工具,短时间缺乏持有的必要性,而流动性需求促使投资者持有黄金。
  
  美国股市周四小幅上涨,投资者对全球决策者为缓解市场动荡而采取的一系列经济和金融措施表达了温和的信任。道琼斯工业平均指数回升至20000点以上,纳斯达克综合指数领涨,投资者在抛售浪潮中休息一下,评估全球为对抗冠状病毒大流行的经济影响而采取的前所未有的政策行动;但笼罩一切的问题是,随着美国和欧洲冠状病毒病例激增,经济下滑将持续多长时间。
  
  欧洲央行行长拉加德表示,已完全准备好根据需要,尽可能扩大资产购买计划的规模和实施时间,并调整其构成。
  
  美联储与澳大利亚、巴西、韩国、墨西哥、新加坡和瑞典各自达成不超过600亿美元的新互换安排,与丹麦、挪威和新西兰各自达成300亿美元的安排;持续时间至少为六个月。美联储与加拿大央行、英国央行、日本央行、欧洲央行和瑞士央行拥有常备互换安排。美元互换范围的扩大,将使外国央行能够为企业和银行提供foreign exchange,以缓冲美元放贷人规避风险的影响。
  
Technical aspect:
  
  日线级别,金价本周延续上周跌幅后持续震荡展现先扬后抑态势,截止周三美盘多头展现上攻疲态后价格昨日继续表现低迷,短线若围绕1500上下展开修正,或令后市短线仍压力重重,下方1450关口或仍面临较大空头挑战。1--4小时级别,价格本轮下跌至当前呈现下降三角形修复形态,另外至美盘时段,4小时周期或再次触及高点周期59,短线若仍整体承压1503下方徘徊,或仍存在较大下行风险。小时图日内虽形成短线1455下探回升,但延续该震荡下跌形态目标并不能触及1510上方,投资者日内重点关注欧盘后短线震荡表现,日内或可围绕1503下方空单尝试,若上破1510暂停止建立空单思路,多头则需关注1520上破或可验证。
  
Operation suggestions:
  
Multiple orders:
  
  个人日内暂无多单意愿,具体或等美盘后再做考虑。
  
Empty order:
  
  激进者1490上下轻仓尝试,稳健者1503上下做空,止损1510上方,目标关注前低或更低
  
Bo Hu's Message on Gold: As a lone soldier, do you feel like you are walking on thin ice in this financial market and struggling to move forward? If you are tired of unproductive investments and lost in the foggy market; If you suffer losses one after another but feel unwilling. So, it's time to change the status quo. Good birds choose trees to live on, your choices determine your future!
  
The above views only represent the personal views of Bohu Lunjin. Thank you for your continuous support. Welcome to share, share, and comment, let's grow together! If you feel that the above views on Bo Hu Lun Jin are helpful to you, you can try adding Bo Hu Lun JinvxNumber“KD1394”Every day, there will be timely analysis of the gold strategy, as well as real-time guidance and one-on-one consulting services, dedicated to answering every investment challenge you face.
  
Comprehensive guidance teacher: Bo Hu Lun Jin Micro(KD1394)
  
Direction guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00
  
Wen/Bo Hu Lun Jin
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