3.16美联储降息难阻黄金下跌，原油走势分析操作建议

　前言：当你明白什么是趋势的时候，交易就不再迷茫，当你明白什么是重点什么是次要的时候，说明你懂得权衡利弊。交易就是人心的考量，跌了还想更低，而涨了又想更高，每一次失败的案例都是人性的贪婪，而每一次成功的案例都是理性的奖赏。趋势面前，一切逆势的操作都会埋葬自己的资金，而顺势却有不敢下手，跌久了就要做多，涨久了就要做空，很多人都是按照这样的思路在进行交易，殊不知这样的思路是没有任何技术依据的。
　　
　　技术不是决定胜负的唯一因素，但技术绝对是主要因素。拿着鸡毛当令箭，还自以为获得武林秘籍，殊不知那些未经市场检验的思路实际操作起来是多么的被动，多么的无助，实盘和策略是不一样的，策略很好，实盘的时候不一定能执行好，所以，一个成功的分析师，首先是一个带实盘的高手。所有的交易，最终都要回归到趋势上来，不懂趋势，做再久的交易都成不了气候，一个人在一个行业成就的大小，取决于格局和思维的大小，若定位于短线刷单，永远成就不了长线带来的利润。而你属于哪一种？？
　　
Message: Monday（3month16Day)goldfutures高开震荡走低，因美联储紧急降息100个基点，令美元大跌，同时美联储的举措也加剧了市场对于美国经济放缓的忧虑，因此也支撑了金价，但是因流动性需求，黄金回吐部分涨幅，不过，随着美联储引领全球开启新一轮降息狂潮，且在全球负收益资产激增之际各国仍不得不增加负债，从长期看仍支撑金价。日内关注日本央行决议，日本央行将政策会议的原定时间从周四提前到了周一。
　　
Monday（3month16日）亚洲时段，油价在创下2008年以来最大周跌幅后继续大跌，美油盘中一度暴跌4USD, lost30美元关口，随后小幅回升，但难逃四年低位。公共卫生事件继续肆虐全球，美联储再度宣布紧急降息1个百分点至零水平附近并将大规模购债，加拿大、英国、新西兰等国央行也紧急降息。加之石油市场爆发价格战，金融市场掀起血雨腥风，恐慌情绪随处可见。
　　
　　油价上周录得自2008year12月以来最差表现，投资人眼睁睁看着全球公共卫生事件让需求蒸发掉，而且主要产油国增产也打击油价。俄罗斯油长称，没有讨论回归减产协议的事，俄油执行长表示他们打算在4月增产。消息人士表示，沙特意在全球市场排挤俄罗斯crude oil。
　　
Gold: In just the past week, spot gold has perfectly staged the natural law of "things will go against the extreme". As the US dollar plummeted, the price of gold once broke through1700Gateway, creating2012Since the end of the year, it has reached a new high1703.39dollar/Ounces, but due to factors such as long profit taking, margin demand triggered by a sharp drop in the stock market, and a significant rebound in the US dollar, the daily gold price recorded five consecutive negative days, with a cumulative decline of nearly200USD, lowest touch1504.78dollar/Ounces, closing1529.83dollar/Ounces, weekly decline of8.6%, for1983The largest weekly decline since the beginning of the year.
　　
　　从技术面来看，现货黄金上周五暴跌，一度跌逾90USD, refreshing last year12month26Since the low point of the day1504.78dollar/盎司，上周金价暴跌8.6%, recorded1983The largest weekly decline since the beginning of the year, with the daily chart recording five consecutive negative days,MACDDead fork after top deviation,KDJDead fork,5Daily moving average underpass10日均线结成死叉，金价连续失守多根均线和布林线下轨，空头明显占据上风，上周五低点1504.78This is currently the initial support below, followed by1500Integer level,200The daily moving average is supported by1497.45Nearby, further support at2019year12month23Daily high point1486.22附近，该位置存在密集成交区域，支撑相对较强，若意外失守该位置，则新的下行通道将被打开。
　　
　　不过，由于金价短线跌幅较大，且KDJofJ”The value is severely oversold, if the gold price persists1500At the integer level, one needs to be cautious of the possibility of fluctuations, rebounds, and adjustments,100Daily moving average1535.45It is currently the initial resistance above,1month21Resistance at daily low points1546.41Nearby, further resistance55Daily moving average1583.53附近，若收复该位置，则削弱短线看空信号；综合来看，今日晚间短线操作思路上志豪点金个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1558-1560Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1523-1525Frontline support.
　　
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
　　
　　1The rebound above the gold does not break1558-1560Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1548-1546frontline;
　　
　　2The pullback below the gold does not break1523-1525Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1530-1532frontline;
　　
　　3The strategy is for reference only, and the specific entry points for real-time changes in the intraday market can be found on Zhihao Dianjin WeChat(bzd99996327)The actual offer shall prevail;
　　
　　原油：原油从技术面看，日线布林带呈开口向下发散。K线交投于布林带中下轨之间，MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈死叉向下运行，指标MACD于零轴下方呈死叉运行，绿色动能放量，KDJ三线于底部死叉走平之势；从四小时图上来看，布林带呈收口走平运行，K线交投于布林带中下轨之间，MA5Mean Square andMA10均线粘合于布林带中轨附近，指标MACD于零轴下方呈金叉缓和向上运行，红色动能缩量，KDJ三线呈初步死叉之趋。
　　
　　综合来说，周线级别观察，原油上周一开盘出现断崖式下跌，最低触及27.34后震荡回弹，观察可以看出上周整体维持在30-35区间整顿，周线以十字K线收关。日线级别观察，目前油价整体运行于30-35区间整顿，从技术面来说，目前油价依然是弱势结构，但由于前期的断崖式跳空缺口没有回补短导致下跌力度减弱，笔者志豪点金个人认为，短时间能否回补缺口需要重点关注37.5-37美元附近，下方则需要关注30美元，若有效下破则及有可能进一步试探前低27Around the US dollar. 四小时观察，四小时布林带走平震荡区间有所收敛，没有延续弱势下跌。但回升也需要时间整理蓄势。由于波动基数大，短线进入宽幅震荡区间拉锯。短线我们需要关注布林带下轨的30美元的支持，上方关注布林带中轨32美元的阻力。综合来看，今日晚间短线操作思路上志豪点金个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注31.6-31.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below29.0-29.2Frontline support.
　　
Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:
　　
　　1The rebound above the crude oil does not break31.6-31.8Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target30.6-30.4frontline;
　　
　　2The downward correction of crude oil does not break29.0-29.2Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target29.8-30.0frontline;
　　
　　3The market is constantly changing, and the price points are for reference only. Investment is risky and entering the market requires caution. For more details, please follow Zhihao Dianjin's official website||Wei:bzd99996327；
　　
　　志豪寄语：投资是长久之计，不是一朝一夕，所以不可操之过急。就算你现在亏损了，那也没什么可怕的，只要选择正确，失去的都会再回来。对于经常被套单的投资朋友志豪点金告诉你要切记以下5点禁忌：①、重仓操作。②、不带止损。③、逆势操作。④、频繁操作。⑤、心态不好操作。缘来不拒，缘走不留，茫茫人海相识成为朋友也是一种缘分。素不相识的投资朋友只因看了我的文章信任我，所以每位找到我的投资朋友我都会给予最大的帮助，让这份信任变的更有价值。希望志豪点金的文章能给你带来收获，在接下来的投资里顺风顺水。
　　
This article is written by Zhihao Dianjin (WeChat:bzd99996327）As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publication, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source of the reprint.
　　
The author of this article is Zhihao Dianjin, WeChatbzd99996327。