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前言:投资市场变幻莫测,没有哪个分析师百分百的分析都是正确的,很多投资者也具备分析师的素质,有那样的能力,也会做分析,因为现货gold等都是一种单一的投资,分析起来也不难。分析师比投资者看的准就是因为我们的心态比较好,因为我们不是操盘手,而且我们还每天都盯着盘面。套单在投资过程中是很常见的一种现象,有的投资朋友不习惯带止损,有的是在大行情下来不及去设止损,而导致单子被套!At this moment, don't rush and handle it calmly!
Message: Thursday(3month12day)欧洲央行批准了新的刺激措施,但维持利率不变;多国股市暴跌,道指重挫10%, creating1987年黑色星期一以来最大跌幅;主要货币互换利差扩大,且投资者争相买入美元。贵金属全线大跌,黄金一度急泄80USD to1560关口,钯金最深跌幅达28%,随着全球市场的下滑势头有增无减,投资者纷纷抛售贵金属,通过兑现这种避险资产的上涨来满足流动性需求。布油跌逾8%,来自沙特和阿联酋的大量廉价供应涌入市场,加剧了价格压力。
黄金:现货黄金昨天晚上频频短线下挫,20:03分突然短线下挫,最低跌至1577dollar/ounce.COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract in Beijing Time20:02-20:04三分钟内成交量为11709Hand, the total value of the trading contract is close to19亿美元。周四全球金融市场再遭血洗一幕,美国总统有关疫情防控的举措令市场失望,这加剧了抛售势头。美国总统周三宣布,从周五起30天,美国将暂停所有欧洲赴美国的旅行,以抗击疫情。特.Lang.普并称,旅行限制不适用于英国。他并宣布了一些其他措施,包括指示财政部对受疫情影响的实体提供延后报税,志豪点金认为,财政方面的援助可能来得慢,因为特.Lang.普和国会对应该采用哪种形式还存在分歧。尽管避险急剧升温,但现货黄金却继续遭到抛售,日内一度下探1577Near.
从技术面来看,日内黄金回撤1630附近后震荡回弹,上方测压1650再度承压回修,随后行情反复回撤1630附近再回弹都未能冲破1650阻力位。晚盘前,黄金出现一波较大幅度下跌,跌破1600,低点至1577附近,从小时图结构上来看,这类似于小级别的下跌中继形态被跌破,行情扩大调整空间,或有可能跌至此前预期的1574-1571区域找支撑。
目前黄金波动剧烈,但整体走势还是符合预期的呈现弱势下跌格局,短线来看,上方5Daily line1650压力得到进一步的确认,而20Daily line1630的跌破,则撕开了进一步回落调整的趋势,短期内或可期1571附近的回踩。鉴于此操作上志豪点金建议还是侧重以持空,以及择高继续尝试短空为宜,但是需要注意的是,目前空头动能已经得到连续下跌释放,随时可能会因短线空头动能消耗殆尽而出现超跌回弹,但是主趋势看跌格局不会改变,不过基本面的意外消息也要做好防范准备。综合来看,今日短线操作思路上志豪点金个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注1593-1595Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1560-1562Frontline support.
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
1The rebound above the gold does not break1593-1595Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1583-1581frontline;
2The pullback below the gold does not break1560-1562Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1568-1570frontline;
3The strategy is for reference only, and the specific entry points for real-time changes in the intraday market can be found on Zhihao Dianjin WeChat(bzd99996327)The actual offer shall prevail;
crude oil:美国上周EIA原油库存大增766.4万桶,超过预期的增加226.6万桶,此次增幅为2019year11month1日当周以来最大。美国EIA精炼油库存则录得1994year1月以来最大降幅。原油方面昨日EIA利空,小阶段冲高36.5一带开始回落,周期的运转呈现的时间是存在的,筑底的过程同样是煎熬的,前期一直强调过原油会有一跌,昨天早盘阶段,stock market index开市狂泻,原油同样跌跌不休,整体走势符合我们的预期,筑底不会那么轻易那么快速的反复上去,过程依旧还是需要反复,所以抄底的时机依旧还未到来。
原油从技术面来看,因OPEC+减产联盟瓦解,俄罗斯和沙特阿拉伯开打价格战,油价上日盘中重挫逾30%Touching2016year2月中旬以来新低,近月合约成交量均创下历史新高,原油创下1991year1month17日海湾战争爆发以来的最大单日跌幅;由于油价短线跌幅过大,目前仍然严重偏离日线布林线轨道和个均线,从小时图来看,布林线收口后水平运行,留意布林线轨道30.75-34.76区域突破情况;但短线仍然需要提防短线震荡下行的风险;初步支撑在布林线中轨32.75附近,布林线下轨在30.75附近,若进一步下破,则增加油价进一步大幅下跌的风险。周一低点支撑在27.34Nearby,2016年低点支撑在26.02附近。若油价顶破布林线上轨34.76附近阻力,则需要提防油价回补缺口的可能性;目前缺口阻力在41.05附近。综合来看,今日短线操作思路上志豪点金个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注32.3-32.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below29.6-29.8Frontline support.
Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:
1The rebound above the crude oil does not break32.3-32.5Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target31.3-31.1frontline;
2The downward correction of crude oil does not break29.6-29.8Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target30.4-30.6frontline;
3The market is constantly changing, and the price points are for reference only. Investment is risky and entering the market requires caution. For more details, please follow Zhihao Dianjin's official website||Wei:bzd99996327;
志豪寄语:这个市场没有常胜将军,更没有神这一说,分析师都有出错的时候,那么关键问题来了,笔者志豪点金个人坚持一个仓位和节奏要求VIPJinyou Trading does not involve heavy positions, and no matter how many times it is done correctly, there is no need to discuss whether risk control is good or not. Therefore, when there is an error in an order, the trend and expectations are not consistent. It is important to cut the position as soon as possible instead of waiting for a stop loss foolishly. What needs to be done is the win rate, relying on profit accumulation to earn wealth, rather than heavy position trading. If there is an error in a loss, it is necessary to repeatedly increase the position. I do not have such guidance here, nor do I agree with it. Investment trading always puts technical risk control first, mentality and technology second, only then can profits continue.
This article is written by Zhihao Dianjin (WeChat:bzd99996327)As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publication, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source of the reprint.
The author of this article is Zhihao Dianjin, WeChatbzd99996327。 |
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