Shi Wanjin:3.8黄金走势分析，开盘行情多空趋势，周一操作建议

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年年岁岁花相似，岁岁年年人不同，同样的市场，被不同的人经历，同样的涨跌，被不同的人感受，借取经验而不是购买经验的人才是这里最幸运的，错过，是为了下一次更好的相遇，而经常的错过，那是为了不再相遇!任何时候，市场的起起伏伏总有一半人成为另一半人的笑话，人总是要有点念想的，过年，是为了让思念兑现，投资，是为了让梦想实现！分析永远是辅助，策略才是赢利的基本。对于技术，没有对错，关键性的分水岭，易成为行情转折的拐点抑或助推趋势的延伸。但，交易中或结价操作中，咱们必须果断，在对的方向里坚持，而当方向错误时，调整战略就是进步，转身就是盈利。

消息面：周五(3month6day)The US dollar index fell below96Pass, create last year's record2New low since the beginning of the month95.70Record the largest weekly decline in nearly three years, with US Treasury yields falling to a record low and the attractiveness of the US dollar; Although the United States2The monthly non farm employment positions maintain a strong growth momentum, but the data is overwhelmed by the current dominant safe haven environment. The amplitude of gold price is close50USD, spotgoldReceived1670Above the US dollar, it hit a high of over seven years during trading1692.15dollar/ounce.OPEC+The alliance's talks in Vienna collapsed, and US oil fell more than10%Report41.28dollar/Bucket, for2016year8The lowest closing price since the beginning of the month.
Next week's gold trend analysis:
现货黄金从日线来看，金价隔夜再度出现大爆发，暴涨暴跌50The fluctuation of the US dollar, closing at the end of the day1670Above the checkpoint, constantly approaching the previously touched over7Annual high1690US dollars. Technically speaking,MACDThe red kinetic energy column continues to expand,RSIThe indicators are approaching the overbought level,KDJThe random indicator is upward, and there is still room for short-term growth.5The daily moving average has also crossed again10Daily moving average, gold price has broken through2month24Daily high point1689Nearby resistance, bullish signals in the future have increased, and it is expected to further test the high point1700There is resistance near the checkpoint, and there is a possibility of further upward breaking if the price of gold cannot break through1700Regional resistance still needs to be guarded against similar factorsMThe possibility of topping; Below1654It has been transformed into the initial support.
Spot gold from4From an hourly perspective, prior to this, there was a severe pull over50After the US dollar, the price of gold took it to the next level and briefly climbed to1690Above the US dollar, pay attention to the recent breakdowns before midnight8After reaching a high level this year, there has been a slight decline. Technically speaking,MACDThe red kinetic energy column is reduced,KDJDead cross, random indicators moderately decline, focusing on the possibility of short-term consolidation. Last night, the US market further broke this week's high and stabilized during the trading period1650上方后继续爆发，午间再次冲高回落，摆脱了早盘的震荡高位修复，不过也要注意下周空间的考虑，追多依旧需要谨慎。综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上石万金个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1684-1686Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1660-1662Frontline support.
Suggestions for Gold's next Monday operation:
1Suggestions1684-1686Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1674-1672frontline;
2Suggestions1660-1662Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1670-1672frontline;
Next weekcrude oilTrend analysis:
U.S.AWTI 4Monthly crude oilfuturesElectronic disk prices Thursday(3month5day)Closing down0.77USD, decline1.65%Oil prices fell on Thursday as there were no signs of a slowdown in health incidents, intensifying concerns about the global economy and prompting investors to sell more high-risk assets such as stocks and crude oil, shifting funds towards safe haven assets. So far, Russia has stated that it will support extending existing production reduction plans instead of increasing production reduction efforts. Sudden public health emergencies exacerbate concerns about energy demand, while investors are concerned aboutOPEC+Achieve daily production reduction150Ten thousand barrels expressed suspicion, Brent crude oil fell below for the first time in over two years50USD.OPECproposalOPEC+At Friday's meeting, the current production reduction agreement will be extended until the end of this year, and it is recommended to6Reduce production every day before the end of the month150Ten thousand barrels, currently the key still lies in Russia. If Russia does not agree to this production reduction proposal, the oil market will be oversupplied. In this situation, oil prices will find it difficult to build a bottom and will plummet significantly on the basis of the current level.
从技术面来看，原油昨日整理承压回落收低，反弹最高47.50Under pressure on the front line, European and American markets broke through the previous day's low point during the trading period46.50Weakening, although accompanied by a rebound and a tug of war washing, the tail end still came under pressure and closed at a low level, the lowest45.60.And the daily chart closed with a small negative line. The daily chart rebound has not been sustained. Turning negative and falling, continuing to fluctuate and closing the weekly chart. Short term fluctuations within the day. Short line4When the hour falls below the support point, it slightly weakens. If you step back chronically, continue to explore and seek support. In terms of small cycles, the late night rebound was still ongoing47.50下方承压，日内短线会在此位之下延续一波小回落，至少能否再次下探回升，要结合下探后的形态再行定夺。综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上石万金个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注42.5-42.7Frontline resistance, short-term focus below40.8-41.0Frontline support.
原油下周一操作建议：
1Suggestions42.5-42.7Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target41.5-41.3frontline;
2Suggestions40.8-41.0Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target41.6-41.8frontline;
在投资市场历经了风风雨雨，牛熊更替。现在回过头来，每一年的事都是那么类似，那么熟悉。多空双向制市场中的投资者大多数都是从股民发展过来的，每年都会看到很多股民在操作中经历着同样的事，犯着同样的错误。在现货中犯错的人不计其数，但归纳起来不外乎以下这么几点，然而贵金属市场就是这么一个知易行难的地方。
【第一条】止损：当你在下单前，就应该想好止损价是多少，止损价格是不是合理。下单以后，马上把止损价填上，为什么要一开始就要填止损？如果行情不是你希望走的情况，这样你第一时间就可以减少亏损，止损止损就是停止亏损的意思，只有小亏才能保住元气。
【第二条】止盈：很多人往往做不好止盈，从而让盈利单变亏损单，在单边趋势下，止盈可以用推止损法来加大利润空间，在震荡行情中，止盈往往需要个人思考点位平仓，不是每一单都必须赚几千几万，震荡行情中，有时几百的利润就是积少成多。
【第三条】点位：入单的点位是相当重要，虽然说新华油是多和空两种模式操作，其实是四种操作方法，低多，低空，高多，高空这四种，在单边势头中，这四种模式都是可取的，如果是在震荡趋势中，切记不可低空和高多，这样就相当于追涨杀跌，万万切记，很多人都是追涨杀跌导致亏损。
【第四条】仓位：资金如何分配关系到心里承受能力的多少，仓位如果过大或者满仓操作，一旦趋势逆转，则亏损加大，心里承受压力也加大。往往不能仔细的分析行情走势，从而造成错误操作。
【第五条】果断：一个合格的投资者，是需要果断的下单。既然自己有想法，就按照自己的想法执行，毫不犹豫，不要怕亏损，合理的止损会帮你规避风险，做你的坚强后盾。
【第六条】频率：由于原油沥青是22小时交易，所以不可能每波行情都要抓住，交易频率适当是必须掌握的，过多的交易可能导致技术分析错误。
【第七条】心态：这一点是最重要的，当你踏入这个市场的时候，不可否认大家都是报着赚钱来的，赚多赚少影响着你的心态，我们要做到的是宁可错过也不要做错。
【第八条】加仓：加仓是一门学问，在单边的势头中，可以适当加顺势单，但是切记万万不可逆势加单，逆势加单往往使得亏损加大，更加不可随意撤消改动逆势单止损。
【第九条】顺势：顺势而为，当市场单边行情中，不要想着随时调整，也许所有指标全部高位钝化，但是指标也有背离的时候，切记万万不可逆势而为。
【第十条】心情：这也是最重要的一条，心情郁闷或者极度兴奋状态下建议先冷静心态然后在操作，心情郁闷往往过早砍仓或者过早止盈，心情极度兴奋的情况下往往产生贪婪，可能让盈利单变亏损单
没有不成功的投资，只有不成功的操作。对现货原油黄金白银等贵金属投资有兴趣却无从下手或者已经在接触却并不理想的朋友，欢迎关注石万金获得最新资讯，获取每日行情走势分析，交易策略指导；如果有套单锁单的朋友，请及时联系本人，为你解单解锁。Wen/Shi Wanjin  （微信号：swj178）