Zhou Hongjin:3.6大非农黄金走势预判空单解套，原油行情解析交易策略

Summary:gold行情走势、黄金交易策略、黄金行情解析、crude oilTrend analysis and crude oil operation suggestions
Message interpretation:
　　周五现货黄金续刷逾一周高位至1676.65The US dollar, coupled with concerns over public health events, saw the US Treasury yield continue to hit a historic low. On Thursday, due to concerns over public health issues, the top three US stocksstock market indexBoth have fallen by more than3%At the same time, US bond yields continue to decline, and the market is concerned about the Federal Reserve3The bet on a monthly interest rate cut has been raised100%The US dollar index continued to hit a two month low. Affected by this, gold surged nearly40美元。日内关注非农数据，就业市场是美国经济当前的重要支撑，同时日内美联储发声密集。OPEC周四同意在现有减产基础上在2020年第二季再减产15010000 barrels/日，以支撑受公共卫生事件冲击的油价，但前提是俄罗斯和其他产油国都参与行动。对俄罗斯的怀疑态度令油价承压，布伦特原油futures结算价自2017year7For the first time since the beginning of the month, it has fallen below50美元；目前市场将等待晚间俄罗斯方面在OPEC+会议上的表态，同意则油价有望涨向50关口上方，不同意则油价将面临进一步下跌风险。
Non agricultural foresight:
Beijing Time3month6Day and evening21:30, will welcome the United States2Monthly non farm employment data. expect2Non farm employment will increase in the month17.5The growth rate is expected to be lower than last month, but it still reflects moderate growth in the labor market; The unemployment rate is expected to remain at3.6%unchanged,1The monthly average hourly wage is expected to increase year-on-year3%. Based on current market expectations, non-agricultural data is expected to be mixed, and the market will look for clues from sub data, including changes in manufacturing employment and population. If there is more data indicating that the US employment market is still strong, it is expected to provide support for the US dollar.
　　
1、 Analysis of the trend of spot gold
　　
Technically speaking, gold consolidated and closed strong yesterday, but after two trading days of consolidation, it held on1630Above, yesterday's breakthrough1653After pressing the dot, open the up space. Continuing the strong recovery trend at the beginning of the week, we revisited the previous high point and the daily chart's bullish line closed full. Today marks the end of the weekly work. At present, the short-term display of bulls remains strong, breaking through1663After the suppression, the suppression broke the trend line. In the short term, the Asian and European markets will continue this strong upward trend. Try not to chase orders after hitting a high in the US market, as this rapid rise in price exploration can easily be accompanied by a fall in price if the correction is not in place. Relying on the first step of the Asian and European stock market rebound1663Make breakthroughs in support points and take advantage of the trend in the short term.
　　
Short line4After sorting and accumulating momentum at the beginning of the week, the hour completed a breakthrough in pressure recovery, breaking through range fluctuations and returning to a strong upward trend. However, is this wave of rise continuing to extend long? It is still difficult to determine whether it will be a second exploration. The transformation of form involves walking and observing at the same time, in a preliminary sense. The short term is temporarily too much.4Hour continuous yang pulling upwards. Short term backpedaling can be done more first, and once the volume is increased, try not to chase. Today's support is on1666-1663At. Step back and look again first. If there is a direct strong breakthrough1690高点，则尽量不在高位再去追单。谨防快速的冲高回落风险。届时盘中结合形态再临盘看是否安排短空。这波上涨势头的持续性仍是个问题。不排除有做双顶的可能。行情实时变化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及中长线布局咨询周鸿金（zh66646）Get it for free!
　　
2、 Analysis of the trend of US crude oil
　　
Technically speaking, crude oil fell and closed down under pressure yesterday, with the highest rebound47.50Under pressure on the front line, European and American markets broke through the previous day's low point during the trading period46.50Weakening, although accompanied by a rebound and a tug of war washing, the tail end still came under pressure and closed at a low level, the lowest45.60.And the daily chart closed with a small negative line. The daily chart rebound has not been sustained. Turning negative and falling, continuing to fluctuate and closing the weekly chart. Short term fluctuations within the day.
　　
Short line4When the hour falls below the support point, it slightly weakens. If you step back chronically, continue to explore and seek support. In terms of small cycles, the late night rebound was still ongoing47.50Under pressure below, there will be a small downward trend in the short term below this level. At least whether it can be further explored and rebounded depends on the pattern after the downward trend before making a decision. The current structure is relatively weak. And the breakthrough point46.70-80依旧转换成阻力。操作上反弹先在阻力处短空一次。行情实时变化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及中长线布局咨询周鸿金（zh66646）Get it for free!
　　
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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