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Crude oil unpacking3.3Gold rebounds weakly, crude oil expands gains-Evening trend analysis operation strategy

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  3month3Daily, spotgoldPrices have risen as the market expands bets that global central banks will cut interest rates to mitigate the economic impact of the rapid spread of global public health events. Last month, manufacturing activity in the United States slowed down. Investors are waiting for the upcoming meeting later that dayG7The finance minister and central bank governor will have a conference call to discuss countermeasures on the impact of public health incidents on the economy. The oil market is driven by bullish expectations of loose policies from global central banks and fundamentals, whileOPECAnd its allies are expected to increase the reduction in production. It is expected that central banks of various countries will soon relax their monetary policies and may adopt a coordinated approach. In addition, the survey shows that OPEC2monthcrude oilProduction has decreased compared to last month5110000 barrels/Solstice278410000 barrels/Japan's production is mainly affected by the turmoil in Libya, and OPEC2Monthly crude oil production has dropped to over10The lowest level since the beginning of the year.
  
1、 Analysis of the trend of spot gold
  
Spot gold has risen, and investors' expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut have further heated up. The US dollar index has fallen for four consecutive days, trading at a one month low. At the same time, US bond yields have also fallen, which has boosted the attractiveness of gold. However, precious metals are also suppressed by strong risk assets, and it is expected that short-term gold will find it difficult to achieve sustained gains.
  
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACDandKDJDead fork operation,5Daily moving average underpass10The daily moving average has formed a dead cross, and gold prices are still affected by5Daily moving average1611.52Nearby resistance is suppressed, and the market tends to fluctuate downward in the future; Bollinger Line Medium Rail1592.53Temporarily providing support for gold prices, overnight low support at1584.08Nearby,2month10Daily high support1577.05Nearby,2month12Daily low point support at1561.93Nearby, if the support is broken, it will increase the bearish signal in the future market;2month5Daily low point support at1547.57Nearby; Given the recent significant decline in gold prices, there is still a possibility of a mild rebound or volatile adjustment in the short term;1600The checkpoint is currently the initial resistance above, and further resistance lies in5Daily moving average (near yesterday's high)1611.52Nearby,10Daily moving average resistance1622.56Nearby, if it rebounds above that position, it weakens the bearish signal for the future market. Overall, in terms of today's operational strategy, Zhihao points to gold(bzd99996327)My personal suggestion is to prioritize high altitude and prioritize low altitude;
  
Focus on resistance above:1600.00;1611.52;
  
Focus on support below:1584.08;1577.05;
  
Suggestions for short-term operation of gold:
  
Short order suggestion: rebound1600Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1592-1590;
  
Multiple order suggestion: callback1585Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1596-1598;
  
Real time market changes, strategy is for reference only. Real time entry and exit points and mid to long term layout consultation with Zhihao Dianjin for free!
  
2、 Analysis of the trend of US crude oil
  
Crude oil has expanded its upward trend on the previous day, with hopes that central banks may implement financial stimulus measures to offset the impact of global public health events, and there is growing optimism thatOPECThis week, further production reduction will be requested. Some institutions believe that if major central banks around the world reach an agreement this week to collectively implement new easing policies, andOPEC+By increasing efforts to reduce production, the oil market will recover all lost land in the past week for the first time. On the contrary, if one of the goals is not achieved, oil prices will retest recent lows before the end of this week.
  
Technically speaking, there is a bullish signal of swallowing up at the low level of the daily chart,KDJThere are signs of re forming a golden cross, and in the short term, there are signs of oil prices bottoming out in a volatile manner, with preliminary resistance above the intraday high48.55Nearby, strong resistance2month4Daily low point49.31Nearby, if the oil price can rebound above this level, it will increase the short-term bullish signal;8month7Resistance at daily low points50.50Nearby; However, due to the significant increase in the previous trading day, we also need to be cautious of the risk of a slight pullback in the short term. Currently5Daily moving average47.08This is where the initial support is located below. Before losing this position, oil prices tend to fluctuate and rebound, further supporting the lower track of the Bollinger Line46.18Nearby, if it falls below that position, it weakens the short-term bullish signal. Overall, in terms of today's operational strategy, Zhihao points to gold(bzd99996327)My personal suggestion is to prioritize low altitude and supplement high altitude;
  
Focus on resistance above:48.55;49.31;
  
Focus on support below:47.08;46.18;
  
Suggestions for short-term crude oil operations:
  
Multiple order suggestion: callback47.1Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target48.0-48.2;
  
Short order suggestion: rebound49.3Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target48.0-47.8;
  
Real time market changes, strategy is for reference only. Real time entry and exit points and mid to long term layout consultation with Zhihao Dianjin for free!
  
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
  
3、 Regarding solution: Because Zhihao Dianjin is not aware of your specific order position, position risk, and other specific order situations, they cannot provide corresponding solution strategies. So friends in need can consult with Zhihao Dianjin or follow "Zhihao Dianjin". Here, I still suggest that investment friends do not resist orders in the future, do not hold positions too heavy, and avoid next time. Not every time can be successfully resolved, not every time goes smoothly. Each order should be done with a plan, and detailed solutions will be provided online in real time. Risk control and subsequent plans will be planned.
  
4、 Experience benefits: For investment friends who are interested in consulting and cooperating, it is convenient for mutual trust in future cooperation and can be experienced with screenshots of actual positions3Tian Shou Dan, you can choose whether to cooperate based on your earnings in the future! I believe this welfare is a good turning point opportunity for friends who have suffered long-term losses in the market and investors who have lost confidence. Whether you seize the opportunity depends on your choice.
  
The trend of gold and crude oil often shows fluctuations in the range, and many investors are often swept back and forth in the early stages of entering the market due to uncertainty about the trend, inability to see overdrafts, and resistance. Occasionally, they forget to bring stop losses, causing orders to turn from losses to gains. Therefore, they cleverly learn not to bring stop losses, and once a large market breaks out, they will suffer losses due to not bringing stop losses, and even have no chance to turn around. Friends who have just entered the market may not be able to access the top news or news in the international market due to work, life, and other issues, which is a great problem for us to invest. Therefore, Zhihao Dianjin welcomes investment friends to come to me to communicate and progress together, so that everyone can stay informed of the international market trends at any time and make the most stable orders. Interpret global economic news, analyze global investment trends, and subscribe to "Zhihao Dianjin" for friends who are interested in investing in gold and crude oil but have no way to start or are already in contact but not ideal(bzd99996327)Get the latest financial information, daily market trend analysis, real-time trading strategies, and medium to long term layout.
  
Wen/Zhihao Dianjin(bzd99996327)
  
The author of this article is Zhihao Dianjin, WeChatbzd99996327。
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