Li Dingyuan:3.2周一黄金还会涨吗？开盘金价行情走势分析及操作建议

　　说实话我希望可以把自己的热情暖感染到每一个人。我爱我的行业，几年间，几乎都熬夜看盘到很晚，也常常因为解一个客户的套单，通宵不睡，不仅要解套，还要经常和他们谈心，做这一行，心态，永远是第一位，我觉得客户和分析师的差别不仅仅是专业技能的差别，最大的地方是心态，客户多半因为真金白银犹豫不决半信半疑的错过很多盈利机会，反而会亏，我是一个心很软的人。做久了和客户成了朋友，有时候也很心疼他们的处境，做这个多半是想赚钱，能改善一下生活条件，听了他们的故事，真的是暗暗下决心一定要为他们多赚一点。毕竟谁的钱都不是大风刮来的，都是辛辛苦苦的血汗钱。我们要尊重自己的劳动成果。我爱这个的行业，我不知道有多少人在和我一样的坚持着我们的初衷。为了分析师这个头衔没日没夜的拼着。我也希望看到我这段话的真真正正的投资者，能让我为你们做点什么。对投资不理想或者想学习的朋友可以咨询我，我会尽我最大的努力帮助你。
　　
　　消息面：现货goldFriday(2month28day)美盘贵金属股市加速下跌。现货黄金下破1600美元关口，黄金紧随股市、crude oil等风险资产惨遭血洗，盘中跌幅一度接近80美元，美市盘中最低触及1571.60美元，这令投资者一度摸不着头脑。黑色星期四”过后，星期五也是黑色的。COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract in Beijing Time23:36-23:37两分钟内成交量为10581手，交易合约总价值约16.8亿美元。在北京时间23:39The trading volume within one minute is9591手，交易合约总价值约15USD100mn
　　
　　现在的市场已经无法用正常逻辑来理解，避险与逐险之间的正常关系被打破。全球疫情升级、土俄方面的新消息都在加剧市场的恐慌情绪。据新华社，世界卫生组织总干事谭德塞28日宣布将新冠肺炎疫情全球风险级别由此前的“高”上调为“非常高”。美联储官员布拉德称，形势“非常不稳定”，存在发生快速转变的可能性。
　　
Gold:2month28日纽市盘中，贵金属全线暴跌，现货黄金一度狂泻80USD to1563.07dollar/盎司，最大跌近5%，创将近七年来最大单日跌幅，报1566.70dollar/盎司，本周累跌5.0%，2月份整体下挫逾1%。白银跌超7%，刷新去年8month6Since the low point of the day16.39dollar/盎司；现货钯金最深跌幅达13%，铂金下跌多达6%；因公共卫生事件促使惊慌失措的投资者全线抛售资产。李鼎缘认为，投资者为了弥补损失，满足追加保证金的要求而卖出黄金。我们并不认为今日市场的表现是对黄金作为“公认避险资产”信念的丧失，也并不认为市场对黄金的态度出现了根本转变。
　　
　　下周黄金走势分析：
　　
　　本周初价格从1689高位回落，周中在1625反弹修复至1660，周尾再遭重挫，最低至1562一线后反弹；周图录得大阴，奠定中期下行格局，预期后市价格将会震荡走低，黄金日线来看：单边上涨后大幅度回调；过去两个交易日金价上线受阻，录得较长的上引线，暗示上方卖压较强，金价存在筑顶的可能性；初步支撑在周五低点1571Nearby, strongly supported2month3Daily high point1560Nearby, if the support is breached, increase the bearish signal on the midline. Preliminary resistance above20Daily moving average1600关口；若站稳该位置阻力，则破坏高位“吞没”看空信号，将增加后市进一步冲高的机会。黄金4小时来看：单边下跌；布林带开口向下，目前MACDDead cross, gold price biased towards probing1570Nearby support, if it breaks down, further support will be provided2month12Daily low point1561Nearby support, if breaking through the support at that position, increase the midline bearish signal; Due toKDJ出现在超卖区域，加上疫情还未结束，避险情绪还是存在的，所以黄金看涨还是存在的。李鼎缘综合来看，关注1598-1600One line of resistance, pay attention below1570-1572支撑，下周一操作思路上建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅。
　　
Suggestions for Gold's next Monday operation:
　　
　　1Gold Callback1575Go long nearby, defend1570On the target1590-1595Nearby;
　　
　　2Gold rebound1598Short and defend nearby1603Look at the target below1592-1588Nearby;
　　
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Personal feedback on making orders:
　　
　　1Spot: The spot where the order is placed is quite important, although gold.Crude oil operates in two modes: long and short. In fact, there are four operating methods: low, low, high, and high. In a unilateral trend, these four modes are all feasible. If you are in a volatile trend, remember not to be low or high. This is equivalent to chasing gains and selling losses. Remember, many people are chasing gains and selling losses.
　　
　　2Stop loss: Before placing an order, you should think about the stop loss price and whether it is reasonable. After placing an order, you should immediately fill in the stop loss price. Why do you need to fill in the stop loss at the beginning? If the market is not the situation you want to go, then you can reduce losses in the first place. Stop loss means to stop losses. Only small losses can maintain vitality, and sometimes you need to be willing to give up, It's not that you're losing this time and won't be able to earn back next time. You need to control the risks of your investment.
　　
　　3Positions: How funds are allocated is related to the level of psychological resilience. If a position is too large or full, once the trend reverses, losses will increase, and psychological stress will also increase. Often, it is not possible to carefully analyze market trends, resulting in incorrect operations.
　　
　　4Stop profit: Many people often fail to do a good job of stopping profit, resulting in profit orders becoming loss orders. In a unilateral trend, stop profit can be increased by using the push stop loss method to increase profit space. Stop profit often requires personal thinking to close positions, not every order must earn tens of thousands or even tens of thousands. In a volatile market, sometimes a few hundred profits add up.
　　
　　5Attitude: This is the most important point that every investor must grasp. When you enter this market, it is undeniable that everyone is trying to make money, but your attitude determines how far you will go on the investment path. What you need to achieve is to rather make small profits than lose money, rather than thinking about earning more and earning less.
　　
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Analysis writer: Li Dingyuan  Wei-Core（ ldy86588） Official account (Li Dingyuan)
　　
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