Register now, make more friends, enjoy more functions, and let you play in the community easily.
You need Sign in Can be downloaded or viewed without an account?Register Now
x
Message interpretation:
2month25Daily, spotgold一度跌近1.6%,远离上日录得的2013year1month23New high in recent days1689.31dollar/盎司。但围绕公共卫生事件将对全球经济带来重大冲击的仍拖累金融市场,投资者预期美联储今年可能降息,这遏制了美元重新走升,也限制了金价下调空间。但博虎论金认为,美联储更多的刺激举措可能也无法缓解关于供应链受公共卫生形势恶化的疑虑。因市场对需求顾虑不减,且OPEC+减产决定仍久拖不决,crude oil需求增速预期为近十年以来最低,国际能源署(IEA)将可能需要调降原油需求增速;疫情蔓延至多国的局面令全球经济和能源需求前景继续蒙阴,而俄罗斯与OPEC的减产谈判也依旧无果,这使得油市前景仍然黯淡。
1、 Analysis of the trend of spot gold
现货黄金交投于1650dollar/盎司附近,受获利盘影响一度自七年高点回落逾50美元,但市场风险情绪并无进一步的改善,投资者对国际公共卫生风险蔓延到欧元区的状况予以持续关注,因此避险投资需求仍然存在;这意味着此前的金价回调更大程度上只是短线技术严重超买后的修正,上行总趋势而不变。受公共卫生风险冲击后,全球2020年度经济增长前景更加蒙上阴影,这会倒逼各国央行此后重启或强化宽松措施,这意味着假以时日,现货金价仍有大概率将站上1700The US dollar barrier.
技术面来看,由于近期黄金涨幅过大,多头积累了相当丰厚的盈利,金价大幅上涨后受阻于1690附近阻力,部分多头平仓离场,令金价展开回调,日线录得一根倒锤子线,KDJ初步结成死叉,金价一度失守布林线上轨,短线仍有进一步回调风险;初步支撑在5Daily moving average1634.38Nearby,10The daily moving average is supported by1608.12附近,预计金价会对该位置进行回踩确认后再决定后市方向。不过,MACD金叉信号仍在,且金价重新突破布林线上轨1642.66附近阻力,短线来看,金价仍有进一步冲高或者高位震荡的机会,上方初步阻力在日内高点1664.04Nearby, then1670关口阻力,若能顶破该阻力,则增加短线看涨信号。另外1660关口也还存在一些阻力;综合来看,今日操作思路上博虎论金(KD1394)My personal suggestion is to prioritize high altitude and prioritize low altitude;
Focus on resistance above:1664.04;1670.00;
Focus on support below:1644.63;1634.38;
Suggestions for short-term operation of gold:
Short order suggestion: rebound1660Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1638-1636;
Multiple order suggestion: callback1644Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1656-1658;
技术面来看,市场对公共卫生事件的担忧情绪有所降温,亚洲股市探底后有所回升或企稳,缓解了市场对需求的担忧,给油价反弹提供机会;但能否扭转短线的回调走势还有待观察;日线均线交织,MACDGolden fork,KDJ死叉,短线走势变数较大,由于2month20日线录得十字星,指示上方阻力较强,油价在在顶破5Daily moving average52.71前,后市偏向震荡下行;日内低点支撑在51.09附近,隔夜低点支撑在50.45Near.2month4Daily low point support at49.31Nearby, the Bollinger Line's lower track supports48.31附近,该支撑相对较强,短线来看,下破该支撑的难度较大。油价需要重新运行在5日均线上方才能有效削弱目前的看空信号,上方进一步阻力在1month31Daily high point53.36附近,若顶破该阻力,则增加后市看涨信号;上周高点阻力在54.66附近,另外,10Daily moving average52.37附近也存在一些阻力。综合来看,短线走势变数较大,顶破52.71前,后市偏向震荡下行;所以今日操作思路上博虎论金(KD1394)My personal suggestion is to prioritize high altitude and prioritize low altitude;
Focus on resistance above:52.25;52.71;
Focus on support below:50.45;50.00;
Suggestions for short-term crude oil operations:
Short order suggestion: rebound52.0Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target50.8-50.6;
Multiple order suggestion: callback50.0Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target51.4-51.6;
Bo Hu's Message on Gold: As a lone soldier, do you feel like you are walking on thin ice in this financial market and struggling to move forward? If you are tired of unproductive investments and lost in the foggy market; If you suffer losses one after another but feel unwilling. So, it's time to change the status quo. Good birds choose trees to live on, your choices determine your future!
The above views only represent the personal views of Bohu Lunjin. Thank you for your continuous support. Welcome to share, share, and comment, let's grow together! If you feel that the above views on Bo Hu Lun Jin are helpful to you, you can try adding Bo Hu Lun JinvxNumber“KD1394”Every day, there will be timely analysis of the gold strategy, as well as real-time guidance and one-on-one consulting services, dedicated to answering every investment challenge you face.
Comprehensive guidance teacher: Bo Hu Lun Jin Micro(KD1394)
Direction guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00