投资者更加担忧公共卫生安全问题在海外市场的蔓延。美国股市在本周开盘即大幅度下挫。中国以外的许多国家出现了大量新病例,加剧了传播的担忧,导致美国stock market indexfutures下跌。美国股市出现12月初以来首次三日连跌;就在上周,看涨情绪还推动股指创下纪录高点。投资者正重陷在美国市场上盛行了将近一年的模式,即近乎狂欢的上涨由于对外部威胁的剧烈反应而间歇性地中断。日前,世界卫生组织总干事谭德塞称,当前全球遏制卫生安全问题蔓延的“机会窗口”依然存在,但这一窗口正在收窄,国际社会需要迅速采取应对行动,加剧了人们对全球经济增长前景的悲观情绪。随着公共卫生安全危机在意大利和伊朗等国家蔓延,美股期货市场走势指向将自上周三下跌近3%的跌幅。高估值可能会加剧跌势。标普500指数上周以22倍多的市盈率开局,纳斯达克100指数的市盈率接近30倍,均处于十年来的前列水平。除了公共卫生安全致命的问题外,股票交易员还难以估计事件对全球经济和供应链的影响。欧股方面,欧股周一集体低开,意大利富时MIBIndex decline1.2%, GermanyDAXIndex decline2.4%,欧洲斯托克50Index decline2.5%。其中意大利富时MIB指数盘初跌幅迅速扩大至3.4%, for2018year12New low since the beginning of the month.OANDASenior Market AnalystEdward Moya称,“市场再次感到焦虑,因公共卫生安全问题在中国以外扩散。随着中国、日本和德国经济放缓料将在上半年持续,市场出现庞大的避险需求。对各国央行将全面推出刺激举措的预期相当高,这将继续推高金价。”
Technical aspect:
goldfrom4小时来看,金价上周多头保持强劲势头,节节攀升,而这种节奏在本周一丝毫没有减退,而目前情况是更甚,早间开盘跳涨至1660上方,其后不断爆发,欧盘一度抵达1690稍下位置,这样的局面连回调低多的机会也没有,日内可以重点关注1690as well as1700两个重点防守区域情况。技术面来看:MACD金叉,红色动能柱扩张,KDJ死叉,随机指标略偏承压,指示黄金短线上行动能暂缓。不过均线成多头排列,布林带开口向上,黄金还是上涨趋势。综合来看,今日午夜操作思路上陈文龙个人建议以回调做多为主,上方短期重点关注1680-1690Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1667-1669Frontline support.
1The pullback below the gold does not break1667-1669Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1677-1679On the front line, breaking through and holding;
Bo Hu's Message on Gold: As a lone soldier, do you feel like you are walking on thin ice in this financial market and struggling to move forward? If you are tired of unproductive investments and lost in the foggy market; If you suffer losses one after another but feel unwilling. So, it's time to change the status quo. Good birds choose trees to live on, your choices determine your future!
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