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Zhou Hongjin:2.22黄金势如破竹,原油震荡回升;下周黄金原油行情走势预判交易策略

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Summary:gold行情走势、黄金交易策略、黄金行情解析、crude oilTrend analysis and crude oil operation suggestions
  忙碌一周的投资市场结束了,可想而知有人欢喜有人愁。在恭喜在市场上大有收获的那些人的同时,希望那些没有取得良好成果的投资者也不要灰心丧气。与其捶足顿胸不如好好反思一下自己在市场上失利的原因,只有不断找出自身的不足才能够不断进步,没有人天生就是站在高峰上,每个人都是经历了无数的挫折才能够成功,想成为一个成功的投资者也是一样的道理,反思不足,虚心学习,才能够不断进步。在现货投资市场并不是谁胜谁负,而是看谁能够走的更长远,只有沉浸其中才能看透这个投资市场的本质,犹豫不决和刚愎自用是投资心态最大的错误。
  展望下周市场又会有一系列重磅经济数据公布,其中包括美国四季度GDP, USA1monthPCE等,同时亚洲公共卫生安全问题仍然是当前全球市场最为关注的焦点,同时全球贸易局势,中东局势,英欧谈判等焦点事件都有可能成为下周市场行情的爆点。
  

1、 Analysis of the trend of spot gold
  
  刚刚过去的一周,现货黄金大幅攀升接近60USD, increase3.75%。亚洲公共卫生安全问题再度成为市场热议的焦点,全球第三大经济体日本可能也会深陷旋涡,全球经济增速放缓的担忧情绪升温,各国央行有望推出更多刺激措施。加之黄金ETF基金不断涌入,金价才会大幅度飙升。
  
  技术面来看,卫生事件造成的避险情绪持续升温,金价连续突破多重关键阻力一度涨近30USD, refresh2013year2month14日以来新高触及1649.26dollar/盎司;日线MACDandKDJ金叉运行,均线多头排列,布林线轨道开口向上,金价震荡上破后延布林线上轨向上运行,短线偏向试探2013year1month28Daily low point1652.14Nearby resistance, further resistance in2013year2month11Daily high point1669.85附近,短线来看,进一步上破仍有一定难度,若金价进一步上破,则上行通道将被完全打开,中长线目标甚至可以看向2012Annual high point1796.41附近;不过,由于金价短线涨幅较大,且KDJ在超买区域有向下拐头的迹象,短线仍然需要警惕震荡回调的可能,2012year12month21Daily low point1635.30已经转换为下方初步支撑,2013year1month4Daily low point1625.95附近,布林线上轨支撑在1619.72Nearby,5The daily moving average is supported by1611.49附近,若意外回落至该位置下方则削弱短线看涨信号;综合来看,下周一操作思路上周鸿金(zh66646)My personal suggestion is to prioritize low altitude and supplement high altitude;
  
Focus on resistance above:1652.14;1669.85;
  
Focus on support below:1635.30;1625.95;
  
Suggestions for short-term operation of gold:
  
Multiple order suggestion: callback1636Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1648-1650(破位持有);
  
  空单建议:盘中择机安排,暂不提前给出;
  
  行情实时变化,策略仅供参考,实时进出场点位及中长线布局咨询周鸿金免费获取!
  
2、 Analysis of the trend of US crude oil
  
  刚刚过去的一周,美原油震荡回升,上涨1.21USD, increase1.32%。来自中国的公共卫生安全问题引发的需求减少担忧有所缓和支撑了油价。此外OPEC减产预期和美国原油库存增幅不及预期也支撑油价。不过,从中期角度来看,全球经济放缓的担忧情绪依然弥漫,虽然OPEC进一步减产又面临俄罗斯的重大阻力,因此油价中期走势仍然不容乐观。
  
  技术面来看,因投资者重新担忧公共卫生事件的经济影响将拖累原油需求,日线MACDGolden fork,KDJ在超买区域向下拐头有结成死叉的迹象,布林线轨道开始收口,短线走势存在较大变数,目前下方初步支撑在5Daily moving average53.12附近,该位置同时也是布林线中轨支撑;进一步支撑在周二高点52.65Nearby,10The daily moving average is supported by52.07附近,若油价回落至该位置下方,则增加后市看空信号。不过,油价尾盘在重新收复5日均线和布林线中轨,短线看空信号有所减弱,上方初步阻力在周五高点53.84附近,若顶破该位置,则增加短线看涨信号,进一步阻力在1month29Daily high point54.37附近,上方较强阻力在55.60附近,若油价需要顶破该位置才能将上涨通道完全打开;综合来看,下周一操作思路上周鸿金(zh66646)个人建议仍然以低多为主,高空为辅;
  
Focus on resistance above:53.84;54.37;
  
Focus on support below:53.12;52.65;
  
Suggestions for short-term crude oil operations:
  
Multiple order suggestion: callback52.6Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target53.8-54.0;
  
Short order suggestion: rebound54.2Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target53.2-53.0;
  
  行情实时变化,策略仅供参考,实时进出场点位及中长线布局咨询周鸿金免费获取!
  
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
  
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  这个市场对某些人来说可能已经身心俱疲了,从满怀希望入市,到损失惨重害怕入场,亏的连鼓励自己的信心都没有,或许真的不适合这个市场,无论从实力上,还是心态上,都不能做好,一度寻求一个可以帮助你的老师,也以亏损告终,继续待在市场不开心,离开市场不甘心,这或许是很多投资者面临的现状。任何投资都是有一定风险的,要么不做,要做就做出一番名堂出来。那么在投资的道路上,我给不了你太多温暖,我只能让你找回自信,我给不了太多安慰,我只能从操作中让你学到经验,我给不了太多虚假的承诺,我只能在实战中让你读懂市场规律。解读世界经济要闻,剖析全球投资趋势,对黄金、原油投资有兴趣却无从下手或者已经在接触却并不理想的朋友,可以咨询“周鸿金”(zh66646)Get the latest financial information, daily market trend analysis, real-time trading strategies, and medium to long term layout.
  Wen/周鸿金(zh66646)
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