黄金徘徊于1550上方,金价现报1555.65dollar/Ounces, intraday decline0.21%;黄金整体波动有限,因市场对美中第一阶段经贸协议有所预期,但协议未能缓解投资者对经贸分歧的担忧,但文龙认为,经贸担忧将继续存在,因为我们不会看到关税的全面取消。风险将在短期内支撑金价,未来几周金价可能升至1580美元,但目前应该维持在1540美元。黄金从技术面来看,金价在9month24Daily high point1535.73附近获得支撑后展开反弹,有进一步试探1month10Daily high point1563.14附近阻力的迹象,但是由于目前日线MACD红能持续萎缩,有结成死叉的迹象,KDJ死叉运行,金价能否进一步上破目前还有待观察;
技术面来看,日线MACDandKDJ死叉,布林线轻微开口,后市油价仍然存在一定的下行风险,目前布林线下轨57.38为油价提供支撑,100The daily moving average is supported by57.21附近,若下破该支撑,则油价可能进一步试探50.99-56.65Upward trend61.8%Retreat position56.60附近支撑;不过,由于EIA原油库存意外下降,中镁签订第一阶段经贸协议,改善了需求前景;这都给油价提供了支撑;油价同时受到多重支撑位的支撑,短线存在一定的调整或者反弹机会。
国际原油从技术面来看,日线MACDandKDJ死叉,短线均线死叉,油价仍然存在较大的下行风险,目前下方初步支撑在200Daily moving average57.75Nearby, further support at100Daily moving average57.18附近,下方强支撑位于50.99-65.65Upward trend61.8%Retreat position56.60附近;该位置附近支撑相对较强,但能否进一步下破,目前还有待观察。由于目前200日均线为油价提供了一定支撑(靠近布林线下轨),短线仍然需要注意油价震荡调整或者温和反弹,目前5Daily moving average resistance58.59附近,本周高点阻力在59.27Nearby, pay close attention10Daily moving average60.27附近阻力,现货金盛缘认为在收复该位置之前,后市仍将偏向震荡下行;若油价能回升至10日均线上方则削弱短线看空信号。综合来看,今日操作思路上现货金盛缘个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注58.7-58.9Frontline resistance, short-term focus below57.2-57.4Frontline support.
Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:
1Suggestions58.7-58.9Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target57.8-57.6frontline;
2Suggestions57.2-57.4Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target58.0-58.2frontline;
笔者现货金盛缘是金融投资分析师,从事金融行业多年,研究国际局势和热点事件。金融领域博大精深,每天行情波折不断,我所能做的就是用我多年的研究经验,给大家帮助。本人06I entered the financial field in [year] and have rich practical experience. I am skilled in trends, investment, and living a balanced life. I enjoy fishing, mountaineering, hiking, and fitness, seeking truth from facts, and not bothering anyone. Keeping up with the market is our unchanging choice. Strive to do the right thing, and it all depends on who you go with! Wen Dao has its own sequence, and there are specialized professions.
Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00