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Some people say that trading is simple, and repeatedly selling up and down can create a landscape of life. But the fact is that the newcomers were all cute and laughed, but later they lost love and only became ridiculous. A transaction constructed based on interests and fantasies has become nothing more than an entertainment project. Only by treating it as a job and a career can one live up to time. Once a person falls, even for a few short years, the market will quickly take away talent and power.
gold消息面解析:周四(1month16日)亚洲时段,foreign exchange市场表现平平,美元指数交投于97.2附近,英镑兑美元震荡走高,近期投资者的焦点将在英欧谈判及英国央行1月的行动上。商品货币整体走高,纽元领涨,因此前一直讨论的中美第一阶段贸易协议终于尘埃落定。现货黄金徘徊于1550上方,市场对美中第一阶段贸易协议有所预期,但协议未能缓解投资者对贸易分歧的担忧。本交易日主要关注晚间美国“恐怖数据”零售销售数据,同时IEAMonthly announcement will be madecrude oil市场报告,而欧洲央行将公布12月货币政策会议纪要。此外欧洲央行行长拉加德将发表讲话。
黄金行情走势分析:现货黄金从技术面来看,隔夜美国CPI数据表现略微差于预期,美联储官员继续释放暂时维持利率不变的信号,帮助金价在9month24Daily high point1535.73重要位置获得支撑,录得一根长下影线的阴线,指示该位置存在较强的支撑,金价短线出现一些反弹迹象;目前上方初步阻力在10Daily moving average1553.84Nearby, further resistance1560Near the checkpoint,1month10Resistance to daily highs1563.14附近,张晨雷认为金价需要重新顶破该位置,才能再次打开上行通道;不过,由于目前日线KDJ仍然死叉运行,MACD也有结成死叉的趋势,若金价不能突破1563.13附近阻力,则金价后市仍然面临震荡下行的风险;继续关注1535.73附近关键支撑,若下破该支撑,预计将进一步试探20Daily moving average1524.28附近。现货黄金短线4hourKDJGolden fork,MACD初步结成金叉,布林线轨道收口,留意布林线轨道1537.97-1561.04区域突破情况,目前金价初步站上布林线中轨,有进一步试探布林线上轨1561.04附近阻力的趋势;张晨雷认为若进一步上破,则增加短线看涨信号;若再次承压,则需要提防金价重回跌势的风险。综合来看,今日操作思路上张晨雷个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注1558-1560Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1543-1546Frontline support.
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
1The rebound above the gold does not break1558-1560Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1552-1550frontline;
2The pullback below the gold does not break1545-1547Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1555-1557frontline;
3、策略仅供参考,盘间行情实时变化具体进场点位以张晨雷微信(zc4867)The actual offer shall prevail;
原油消息面解析:在美国和中国签署了第一阶段经贸协议后,油价部分收复了美国库存报告引发的失地。美油结算价跌0.7%During the trading session, it briefly fell1.5%。作为全球两大经济体签署具有里程碑意义的贸易协议的一部分,中国同意增加购买美国能源产品。但是一份美国政府报告显示,燃料库存增加,阻碍了新签署协议引发的涨势进一步前进。张晨雷表示,在争端持续近两年后,这项协议可能为全球需求改善铺平道路。不过,美国原油futures依然承压,因为交易员关注美国石油库存增加近1500万桶,达到四个月以来的最高水平,这一数据表明需求疲软。