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12month20日美原油期货日内策略分析

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Futures marketgold策略:外盘futures|12month20日美crude oil期货日内策略分析
今日重要财经数据及事件
07:30  Japan11Monthly CoreCPIthe annual rate
08:01  britain12monthGfkConsumer confidence index
09:30  China12月一年期贷款市场报价利率
15:00  Germany1monthGfkConsumer confidence index
17:00  eurozone10Monthly adjusted current account(100 million euros)
17:30  UK Q3GDP年率终值、英国第三季度经常帐
21:30  Canada10Monthly retail sales rate
21:30  US Q3 ActualGDP年化季率终值、美国第三季度核心PCE物价指数年化季率终值、美国第三季度实际个人消费支出季率终值
23:00  U.S.A11Monthly personal expenditure rate, US11Monthly CorePCE物价指数月率、美国11Monthly CorePCEPrice index annual rate, United States12Final Value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index for the Month
The next day02:00  From the United States to12month20Total number of oil drilling in the current week(mouth)
12month20日美原油期货日内策略分析751 / author:lsl3031 / PostsID:1526033

美原油消息面:Thursday(12month19day)WTI 2The electronic price of monthly crude oil futures closed higher0.23USD, increase0.38%Report61.08dollar/Barrel; Brent2Monthly crude oil futures up0.37USD, increase0.56%Report66.54dollar/桶。油价周四升至三个月高位,受前一天美国原油库存下降以及中美贸易紧张形势持续缓解提振。
原油有望创2002年以来的最佳12月表现,因石油输出国组织和其盟国进一步减产,并且美中贸易争端正朝着解决的方向发展;美国原油出口上周升至10The highest level since the beginning of the month.Prosper Trading AcademyChief Executive OfficerScott Bauer表示,受贸易协议影响,石油仍处于超买状态,但是当你分析基本面时,仍然有大量供应存在。
全球最大的两个经济体之间的贸易协议改善了全球经济前景,提振了明年能源需求上升的前景,并支撑了油价。OPEC深化减产以及美国库存数据利好持续发酵。PVM原油分析师表示,尽管油价可能继续维持震荡,但若未来两周油价表现强劲,将在月线上令明年技术走势更加正面。
美原油技术面:美原油日线上看,布林带三轨朝上开口运行,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average crosses upwards and diverges,K线于布林上轨一线交投MA5Above the moving average,MACD快慢线呈金叉缓和向上红色动能小幅放量,KDJ三线交金叉逐步向右运行,日图行情整体位于上行趋势内;4On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Belt runs three tracks upwards,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average shows a good upward trend with a golden cross,KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Near the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴上方呈死叉粘合朝右运行红色动能弱势放量,KDJ三线缩口向下预交死叉下行,油价短线呈现震荡上行形态。
综合来看,日内操作上建议回落低多为主。上方初步阻力在61.3,近一步阻力在61.7; Preliminary support below60.5Further support on59.8。
US crude oil(02合约)交易策略
1Above61.7-61.6短线做空,止损0.3, Objective60.5-60.7Nearby;
2Below60.5-60.6Long nearby, stop loss0.5, Objective61.3/61.7Nearby;
阅读须知:投资有风险,交易需谨慎。本分析由期市黄金策略提供,分析仅供参考,不做为下单的最终依据。
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