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MBG Markets:EIA库存数据全面利空,美联储鸽声难阻美元走低

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英镑高位运行,聚焦英国大选(GBP/USD)
  

Technical aspect:英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达102Individual points, closing up0.54%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口,布林中轨趋于上行,汇价持续于中轨上方运行;日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行,汇价运行于MA5上方;日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较前一交易日缩减;日线RSI(14)to73-74Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.3250Below support attention10日均线位置。
  
Fundamentals:分析表示,虽然保守党仍保持领先优势,但是民调显示,两党的票数差距有所缩小,目前仍不能排除悬浮议会出现的可能。有机构警示称,由于目前的英镑已经提前消化了部分保守党大获全胜的预期,投资者需特别警惕英镑意外暴挫的可能性。数据显示,鉴于英国大选有可能飞出一只杀伤力极高的黑天鹅,不少投资者都已开始通过买入富时100指数或者看跌option来对冲英镑暴跌的风险。数据显示,对冲英镑下跌风险的成本升至4The highest level since the beginning of the month.
  
鲍威尔释放鸽声,澳元领涨非美货币(AUD/USD)
  

Technical aspect:澳元兑美元上一交易日震幅达85Individual points, closing up0.86%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于上行,汇价贴近布林上轨;日线MA5,10双线趋黏合,MA5,10双线趋于上行,汇价运行于MA5上方;日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能无明显增减;日线RSI(14)to61-62Frontline operation, with a smaller operating slope tending to rise. Attention to resistance above0.6930,下方支撑关注布林中轨位置。
  
Fundamentals:美联储宣布维持利率在1.5%-1.75%不变,同时将超额准备金率(IOER)维持在1.55%不变,均符合市场预期。声明称,此前连续降息三次后,利率处于能够支持经济增长与就业的“合适”水平,未来将继续关注数据。点阵图显示到2020年底将按兵不动,同时依旧认为将于2021Year and2022年各加息一次。美联储主席鲍威尔在随后新闻发布会上的讲话中,表达了对美国经济的乐观态度,称当前货币政策立场可能仍是合适的,加息的需求较低。鲍威尔的讲话被解读为“鸽派”。澳洲联邦银行(CBA):美联储议息会议后,澳元兑美元AUD/USD升至一个月高位;现阶段,由于澳大利亚国内经济疲软,澳元兑美元AUD/USD将难以维持在0.6900Horizontally above.
  
EIA库存数据全面利空,WTIcrude oil震荡收跌(USOIL)
  

Technical aspect:WTI原油上一交易日震幅达110Points, closing down0.25%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于上行,油价运行于中轨上方;日线MA5,10构金叉,MA5,10双线稍趋走平;日线MACD(12,26,9)The potential energy of the positive column is relatively small, and the potential energy is reduced compared to the previous trading day; Daily lineRSI(14)to59-60Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above59.80,下方支撑关注布林中轨位置。
  
Fundamentals:From the United States to12month6Day and WeekEIA原油库存增长82.2Ten thousand barrels, expected to decrease276.3万桶。上周美国国内原油产量减少1010000 barrels to128010000 barrels/日。分项数据显示,汽油库存连续5Weekly recorded growth and created1month18Day and Week(47周)以来新高;精炼油库存连续3Weekly recorded growth and created7month19Day and Week(21周)以来新高。数据全面利空,打压油价走低。因沙特产量减少,欧佩克11Reduced monthly crude oil production19.310000 barrels/Solstice295510000 barrels/日,欧佩克维持对明年供需预期不变,欧佩克表示2020年全球原油需求增速预期为10810000 barrels/日,与此前预期持平。
  
  
  
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