MBG Markets：市场警惕英国大选逆转，短期能源报告利好油价

　　
市场警惕英国大选逆转，英镑隔夜冲高回落(GBP/USD)
　　
　　技术面：英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达109Points, closing down0.13%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5Tending towards a downward trend; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to68-69Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.3215Below support attention1.3035。
　　
　　基本面：英国10monthGDPAnnual rate recorded0.7%，创近七年来最低。荷兰国际集团分析师称，英镑价格走势完全取决于即将举行的大选，实质经济数据的影响继续居次位。模型显示，英国保守党将获得339个席位（11month27日调查为359个席位），工党将获得231个席位（11month27日调查为211个席位）。分析表示，这个模型预测保守党将赢得28个多数席位，较上个月预测的68个大幅下降。保守党领先优势的缩窄使得大选出现胶着甚至悬浮议会的可能性大大增加。
　　
短期能源报告利好，油价盘整收涨(USOIL)
　　
Technical aspect:WTIcrude oilThe previous trading day's amplitude reached98Individual points, closing up0.37%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于走平，汇价贴近布林下轨；日线MA5,10构金叉，MA5,10双线稍趋走平；日线MACD(12,26,9)The potential energy of the positive column is relatively small, and the potential energy is reduced compared to the previous trading day; Daily lineRSI(14)to59-60一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于下行。上方阻力关注59.80，下方支撑关注布林中轨位置。
　　
Fundamentals:EIA短期能源展望报告：将2020年原油产量预期从132910000 barrels/日下调至131810000 barrels/日。维持2019年全球原油需求增速预期不变为7510000 barrels/日。并将2020Expected increase in global crude oil demand growth rate in510000 barrels/Solstice14210000 barrels/日。美国至12month6Day and WeekAPI原油库存意外增长141Ten thousand barrels, expected to decrease305万桶。本周为过去13周以来第11次录得增加。汽油、精炼油库存也录得大幅增加。
　　
特朗普弹劾案风险有限，金价震荡收涨(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:goldThe previous trading day's amplitude reached126Points, closing down0.07%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于上行，金价贴近布林上轨；日线MA5,10构金叉，MA5,10双线趋于上行，金价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to54-55Frontline operation, with a smaller operating slope tending to rise. Attention to resistance above1479Below support attention1450。
　　
　　基本面：恐慌指数VIX指数上一交易日收跌1.13%, closing on15.68； Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)The stock price closed up on the previous trading day1.72%, closing on17.14。 The world's largest goldETFFund: United StatesSPDR Gold Trustto12month11Daily reduction of holdings0.3吨黄金，净持仓量缩减至885.93吨。据CNN报道，美国国会众议院司法委员会公布了弹劾特朗普条款，包括两项内容：一是指控特朗普滥权；二是妨碍国会调查。美国众议院议长佩洛西提示：目前交易者们还不需要担心总统弹劾案会影响大选。
　　
　　
　　
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