蔡桀理财:12.2黄金原油今日走势分析以及操作建议

　　前言：如果你能来了解，我会很高兴，我愿意帮助那些相信我的人，信任，是所有合作的起源，如果抱着怀疑的态度合作，那么这样的合作是不长久的，盈利绝对不是一单的输赢，赚钱绝对不是一次的博弈，当你愿意放下过去的思维，当你愿意放下过去的光环，用归零的心态牵起我们合作的手，哪怕，你闭着眼睛，我也绝对不会让你迷路。
　　
　　周五晚间受感恩节假期影响消息面较为匮乏。
　　
　　丹斯克银行分析称，美国11月非农就业报告将于本周五公布；尽管美国疲软的经济指标继续暗示就业增速放缓，但随着通用汽车罢工工人重返工作岗位，整体形势可能仍会很强劲；预计美国11月非农新增就业人数为20万人，这意味着潜在就业增速大约为15Ten thousand people. United StatesISM制造业和PMI' target='_blank'>Non manufacturingPMI数据将分别于本周一和本周三公布，预计ISM制造业将表现疲软，但地区指数和MarkitmanufacturingPMI指数料将录得上升；关于ISMNon manufacturingPMI的信息较少，不过有几个指标表明，该数据将至少保持稳定，该数据当前的水平低于2017-18年，因此我们相信增长的可能性大于下滑；同时我们会密切关注ISMManufacturing and non manufacturing industriesPMI的就业分项指数，这些指数最近相当疲弱。
　　
Technical aspect:
　　
Internationalgold周五触底反弹大幅收涨，周五亚欧盘交易时间金价维持1455-1459区间窄幅震荡，晚间美盘开盘前夕金价维持低位1455一线窄幅横盘，美盘交易时间金价扩大日内跌幅最低触及1453一线后形成连续下探低点形成短线支撑位影响快速反弹，周六凌晨金价最高触及1466一线后收盘于1464一线。周一早间，金价延续高点回落维持，最低触及1460一线后维持短线支撑位反弹表现。短期金价低位反弹并未表现出明显单边多头延续动能，高点压力位回落幅度表现积极。日线上周五录得小幅阳线，形成对日线20 日均线压力位价格回踩表现，短期金价仍承压于整体日线移动平均线压力位价格，日线移动平均线呈整齐向下发散排列，当前金价走高仍面临较强技术指标压力位影响。四小时线显示，短期金价反弹幅度扩大高点压力位区间维持阶段形成短期技术指标向上交叉排列，四小时移动平均线呈粘合缩口迹象，短期金价较难摆脱偏震荡趋势维持。日内谨慎维持偏区间操作思路。
　　
Daily operating range:
　　
Multiple orders:
　　
Radical1456Frontline participation, stop loss3-5Point, profit target1459upper
　　
Robust1448Frontline participation, stop loss3-5Point, profit target1451upper
　　
Empty order:
　　
Radical1463Frontline participation, stop loss3-5Point, profit target1460Below
　　
Robust1475Frontline participation, stop loss3-5Point, profit target1472Below
　　
　　crude oil：原油创两个多月最大跌幅，美油最深跌幅达到5.32%, creating11month20Recently, it has reached a new low55.02dollar/桶；布油最深跌逾4%, refresh day as low as60.35dollar/桶；因有迹象显示OPEC+下周开会时不愿加大减产力度；美国能源信息署（EIA）公布的月度报告称，美国9月原油日产量从8Of1239.7万桶升至创纪录的1246万桶，也令油价承压。
　　
　　从技术面来看，油价持续受到58.64附近阻力压制，该位置是63.38-50.99Downtrend61.8%回撤位，日线图MACDandKDJ初步结成死叉，油价连续下破多个支撑，短线面临震荡下行的风险有所增加。初步支撑在11month20Daily low point54.86附近，蔡桀理财认为若下破该支撑，则增加短线看空信号；进一步支撑在10month31Daily low point53.71附近；上方初步阻力在56.00整数关口附近，该位置也是60日均线阻力所在，进一步阻力在30Daily moving average56.57附近，布林线中轨在56.86附近，若收复该位置，则削弱短线看空信号；200Daily moving average resistance57.55附近，在收复该位置前油价短线偏向震荡下行。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上蔡桀理财个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注57.0-57.2Frontline resistance, short-term focus below54.8-55.0Frontline support.
　　
Crude oil
　　
Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:
　　
　　1The rebound above the crude oil does not break57.0-57.2Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target56.0-56.2frontline;
　　
　　2The downward correction of crude oil does not break54.8-55.0Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target55.6-55.8frontline;
　　
The first thing that comes to mind about investment laws is the 28/20 law, which is widely present in the investment market. But when it comes to the equally common Matthew effect in the investment field, not many people may know. The Matthew effect reflects the phenomenon of the stronger and the weaker in investment, which is a common phenomenon in today's society, known as "winner take all". Its performance in the investment field is that investment giants who can make money are more likely to make money, and retail investors who can make money are also more likely to make money. Winners take all, while losers lose all. Therefore, a novice investor must constantly learn from investment masters and market experts during the investment process, and choose the ones who are good and follow them.
　　
Wen/（官微cj510178）